GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia Prediction - Primeira Liga
GIL Vicente have a chance to consolidate their sixth-place position when they host Casa Pia, who are struggling at the bottom of the table, at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos.
GIL Vicente will face Casa Pia in the Portuguese Primeira Liga at 02:15 on April 28, 2026. This is a clash between two extremes in the league table, with the home team soaring at the top and the visitors striving to escape the relegation zone.
Contrasting positions in the rankings
Currently, GIL Vicente is ranked 6th with 46 points after 30 rounds. Meanwhile, Casa Pia is in 16th place with 26 points, facing significant pressure in the relegation battle.
| Team | Location | Point | Form in the last 5 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| GIL Vicente | 6 | 46 | 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses |
| Casa Pia | 16 | 26 | 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses |
Analyzing team form and strength
GIL Vicente: A strong home advantage.
The home team boasts a fairly consistent attacking performance, averaging 1.5 goals per game (44 goals in total). GIL Vicente's strength is mainly concentrated at their home stadium, Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, where they have won 8 out of 12 matches since the start of the season. Their defense is also performing well, conceding an average of only 1.0 goal per game.
Casa Pia: A defensive crisis
Conversely, Casa Pia is experiencing a difficult season. The away team has only won 5 out of 30 matches, including 9 losses away from home. Casa Pia's biggest problem lies in their defense, having conceded 53 goals (an average of 1.8 goals per game), while their attack has only scored 0.9 goals per game. Their form in the last 5 matches has also been poor, with no wins.
Head-to-head history and scoring trends
Despite the significant difference in their current league standings, their head-to-head history reveals a surprisingly balanced record between the two clubs. In their last five encounters, GIL Vicente has won once, Casa Pia once, and there have been three draws.
- December 13, 2025: Casa Pia 1 - 1 GIL Vicente
- February 22, 2025: Casa Pia 1 - 0 GIL Vicente
- September 22, 2024: GIL Vicente 1 - 1 Casa Pia
- 03/03/2024: Casa Pia 0 - 0 GIL Vicente
- October 3, 2023: GIL Vicente 2 - 0 Casa Pia
Analysis and prediction of results
In terms of strength and home advantage, GIL Vicente is considered the clear favorite. Experts predict a 45% chance of the home team winning. However, given the nature of a match where Casa Pia must get points to avoid relegation, the probability of a draw is also set at 45%. The away team's chances of causing an upset are only 10%.
The match is expected to be low-scoring, with predictions suggesting GIL Vicente will score under 2.5 goals and Casa Pia will likely not score more than 1.5 goals. The safer bet for this encounter is a home win or a draw.
Team lineup updated at 02:00 on 28/04/2026
Official lineup
GIL Vicente
Diagram: 4-2-3-1
CoachCesar Peixoto
Starting lineup:
- 99. Dani Figueira (G)
- 2. Zé Carlos (D)
- 39. Jonathan Buatu (D)
- 4. Marvin Elimbi Gilbert (D)
- 45. Jonathan Mutombo (D)
- 5. Facundo Cáseres (M)
- 95. Santi García (M)
- 77. Murilo (M)
- 10. Luís Esteves (M)
- 32. Martin Fernández (M)
- 23. Hector Hernandez (F)
Substitutes:
- 30. Lucao
- 48. Antonio Espigares
- 20. Hevertton Santos
- 6. Zé Carlos
- 17. Sergio Bermejo
- 27. Agustín Moreira
- 11. Joelson Fernandes
- 29. Carlos Eduardo
- 89. Gustavo Varela
Casa Pia
Diagram: 3-4-3
CoachAlvaro Pacheco
Starting lineup:
- 1. Patrick Sequeira (G)
- 4. João Goulart (D)
- 43. David Sousa (D)
- 18. Andre Geraldes (D)
- 72. Gaizka Larrazabal (M)
- 24. Iyad Mohamed (M)
- 8. Rafael Brito (M)
- 75. Pedro Rosas (M)
- 29. Jérémy Livolant (F)
- 90. Cassiano (F)
- 11. Joao Marques (F)
Substitutes:
- 95. Ivan Mandić
- 5. Abdu Conté
- 3. Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
- 42. Sebastian Perez
- 19. Kevin Prieto
- 80. Lawrence Ofori
- 21. Tiago Morais
- 99. Claudio Mendes
- 10. Dailon Rocha Livramento
