Girona vs Atletico Madrid Prediction - La Liga

Match context

Atletico Madrid will travel to Girona's Estadio Municipal de Montilivi at 8:00 PM on December 21, 2025, with the two teams sitting at opposite ends of the La Liga table. While the visitors are firmly in 4th place with 34 points, Girona are facing a relegation battle in 18th place with only 15 points and suffering significant personnel losses.

Performance analysis

Girona: Striving in difficult circumstances

Girona's recent form has been poor, with only 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches. After 16 games played, the home team has won 3, drawn 6, and lost 7. Their defense is their biggest weakness, having conceded 30 goals, an average of 1.9 goals per game, while their attack has only scored 15 goals.

Atletico Madrid: Maintaining their position

On the opposite side, Atletico Madrid has shown greater consistency with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 league matches. After 17 games, they have 10 wins, 4 draws, and only 3 losses. The capital team's strength comes from an effective attack with 30 goals (an average of 1.8 goals per game) and a solid defense that has only conceded 16 goals.

History of confrontations

Recent head-to-head history heavily favors Atletico Madrid. In the last five encounters, the visitors have won four times, notably with comfortable margins such as 4-0 and 3-0. Girona's only victory was a dramatic 4-3 win in January 2024. This demonstrates Atletico Madrid's dominance in direct confrontations.

• May 25, 2025: Girona 0 - 4 Atletico Madrid
• August 26, 2024: Atletico Madrid 3 - 0 Girona
• April 13, 2024: Atletico Madrid 3 - 1 Girona
• January 4, 2024: Girona 4 - 3 Atletico Madrid
• March 14, 2023: Girona 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid

Force situation

This was the biggest difference between the two teams before the match. Girona was facing a real personnel crisis.

Girr

The home team will be missing a number of key players for various reasons:

• R. Artero: absent due to ankle injury.
• Juan Carlos: absent due to knee injury.
• V. Krapyvtsov: absent due to Achilles tendon injury.
• D. Lopez: absent due to hamstring injury.
• A. Ounahi: Absent due to international duty.
• Portu: absent due to knee injury.
• A. Ruiz: absent due to muscle injury.
• C. Stuani: absent due to calf injury.
• D. van de Beek: absent due to Achilles tendon injury.

Atletico Madrid

The visiting team also has some absences, but the impact is not too serious:

• A. Baena: absent due to hamstring injury.
• JM Gimenez: absent due to hamstring injury.
• C. Lenglet: absent due to knee injury.
• M. Llorente: availability for the match remains uncertain.

Analysis and predictions

Given the vast difference in form, league position, head-to-head history, and especially squad situation, Atletico Madrid is considered the clear favorite. Despite playing away from home, Diego Simeone's team is expected to control the game and secure a convincing victory. A draw or a win for Atletico Madrid is the most likely outcome.

Team lineup updated at 19:23 on December 21, 2025.

Official lineup

Girr

Diagram: 4-5-1

CoachMichel

Starting lineup:

• 13. Paulo Gazzaniga (G)
• 16. Alejandro Francés (D)
• 12. Vitor Reis (D)
• 17. Daley Blind (D)
• 24. Álex Moreno (D)
• 15. Viktor Tsygankov (M)
• 4. Arnau Martínez (M)
• 20. Axel Witsel (M)
• 23. Iván Martín (M)
• 3. Joel Roca (M)
• 19. Vladyslav Vanat (F)

Substitutes:

• 43. Aleksandar Andreev
• 1. Dominik Livaković
• 2. Hugo Rincón
• 28. Gibert Jordana
• 11. Thomas Lemar
• 21. Bryan Gil
• 10. Yáser Asprilla
• 22. Jhon Solís
• 32. Juan Arango
• 44. Papa Ba

Atletico Madrid

Diagram: 4-4-2

CoachDiego Simeone

Starting lineup:

• 13. Jan Oblak (G)
• 14. Marcos Llorente (D)
• 18. Marc Pubill (D)
• 17. David Hanko (D)
• 3. Matteo Ruggeri (D)
• 20. Giuliano Simeone (M)
• 6. Koke (M)
• 8. Pablo Barrios (M)
• 23. Nicolás González (M)
• 9. Alexander Sørloth (F)
• 19. Julián Alvarez (F)

Substitutes:

• 31. Salvador Esquivel
• 1. Juan Musso
• 40. Aleksa Puric
• 21. Javi Galán
• 16. Nahuel Molina
• 24. Robin Le Normand
• 4. Conor Gallagher
• 11. Thiago Almada
• 5. Johnny Cardoso
• 7. Antoine Griezmann
• 22. Giacomo Raspadori
• 12. Carlos Martín