Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen Prediction - Bundesliga

Match context

The match between Hamburger SV and Werder Bremen will take place at 9:30 PM on December 7, 2025, at the Volksparkstadion. This is an important clash for both teams as they both need points to improve their position in the Bundesliga standings.

Currently, Werder Bremen is ranked 11th with 16 points, while Hamburger SV is ranked 15th with 12 points. A win would help the away team consolidate their mid-table position, while the home team needs points to create a safe distance from the relegation zone.

Performance analysis

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV's recent form hasn't been great. In their last five Bundesliga matches, the Volksparkstadion side have only managed one win, one draw, and three losses. After 12 rounds, they have three wins, three draws, and six losses. Their attack has scored 11 goals (an average of 0.9 goals per game), while their defense has conceded 18 goals (an average of 1.5 goals per game).

Werder Bremen

On the other hand, Werder Bremen has a slightly better record. In the last 5 rounds, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Since the beginning of the season, the away team has played 12 matches, winning 4, drawing 4, and losing 4. Werder Bremen has scored 16 goals (an average of 1.3 goals per game) and conceded 21 goals (an average of 1.8 goals per game).

History of confrontations

In the last five encounters, Werder Bremen has the advantage. The away team has won 3 times, while Hamburger SV has only defeated their opponent once, and the two teams drew once. Specifically, the results are as follows:

• February 27, 2022: Hamburger SV 2 - 3 Werder Bremen
• September 19, 2021: Werder Bremen 0 - 2 Hamburger SV
• February 25, 2018: Werder Bremen 1 - 0 Hamburger SV
• September 30, 2017: Hamburger SV 0 - 0 Werder Bremen
• April 16, 2017: Werder Bremen 2 - 1 Werder Bremen

Force situation

Both teams faced significant personnel losses ahead of this match, especially the visiting team, Werder Bremen.

Hamburger SV

• Definitely absent:R. Glatzel (injury), W. Omari (knee injury), A. Rossing-Lelesiit (suspended due to red card).
• His availability for the match remains uncertain.D. Elfadli (groin injury), Y. Poulsen (inactive).

Werder Bremen

• Definitely absent:F. Agu (ankle injury), N. Stark (suspended due to red card), M. Weiser (knee injury), M. Wober (hamstring injury).
• His availability for the match remains uncertain.S. Alvero (injury), L. Bittencourt (injury), O. Deman (ankle injury), J. Malatini (thigh injury), S. Mbangula (injury), J. Stage (injury).

Analysis and predictions

Despite having better form and a superior head-to-head record, Werder Bremen is facing a serious squad crisis. The absence of several key players could significantly impact their strength and playing style. This presents an opportunity for Hamburger SV to capitalize on their home advantage and seek a favorable result.

Based on the analysis, the likelihood of the match ending in a draw or a victory for Werder Bremen is considered higher, with each possibility having a 45% probability. Meanwhile, the home team's chances of winning are only 10%.

Team lineup updated at 21:08 on 07/12/2025

Official lineup

Hamburger SV

Diagram: 3-4-3

CoachMerlin Polzin

Starting lineup:

• 1. Daniel Heuer Fernandes (G)
• 24. Nicolás Capaldo (D)
• 44. Luka Vušković (D)
• 25. Jordan Torunarigha (D)
• 18. Bakery Jatta (M)
• 6. Albert Sambi Lokonga (M)
• 21. Nicolai Remberg (M)
• 22. Aboubaka Soumahoro (M)
• 20. Fábio Vieira (F)
• 14. Rayan Philippe (F)
• 7. Jean-Luc Dompé (F)

Substitutes:

• 26. Daniel Peretz
• 16. Giorgi Gocholeishvili
• 13. Guilherme Ramos
• 2. William Mikelbrencis
• 28. Miro Muheim
• 23. Jonas Meffert
• 15. Yussuf Poulsen
• 45. Fabio Baldé
• 11. Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer

Werder Bremen

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachHorst Steffen

Starting lineup:

• 30. Mio Backhaus (G)
• 3. Yukinari Sugawara (D)
• 5. Amos Pieper (D)
• 31. Karim Coulibaly (D)
• 32. Marco Friedl (D)
• 14. Senne Lynen (M)
• 6. Jens Stage (M)
• 18. Cameron Puertas (M)
• 20. Romano Schmid (M)
• 17. Marco Grüll (M)
• 9. Keke Topp (F)

Substitutes:

• 13. Karl Hein
• 23. Isaac Schmidt
• 22. Julián Malatini
• 28. Skelly Alvero
• 24. Patrice Čović
• 10. Leonardo Bittencourt
• 7. Samuel Mbangula
• 11. Justin Njinmah
• 44. Victor Okoh Boniface