Hellas Verona vs Lecce Prediction - A Do-or-die Match in Serie A

Hellas Verona will host Lecce in what is being described as a "relegation battle" in Serie A. With both teams struggling at the bottom of the table, the outcome of this clash could determine their fate in the tough relegation fight.

Position on the brink of relegation

Currently, both teams are in a very precarious situation. Lecce are 18th in the league table with 28 points after 33 matches. Meanwhile, the situation for the home team, Hellas Verona, is even worse, as they are 19th with only 18 points.

Analysis of form and performance

Hellas Verona are going through a dark period with 5 consecutive defeats. In a total of 33 matches played this season, they have only managed 3 wins and suffered 21 defeats. The home team's scoring efficiency is very low, averaging only 0.7 goals per game, while their defense concedes an average of 1.7 goals per game.

On the other side of the pitch, Lecce are not doing much better, having only managed one draw and suffered four defeats in their last five matches. However, the visitors have slightly better defensive statistics than Verona, conceding an average of only 1.4 goals per game. This season, Lecce have only won three away matches out of 33 rounds.

History of confrontations and balance of power.

The history of their last five encounters reveals an incredible balance between the two teams. Specifically, each team has won once, and there have been three draws. In their most recent meeting in November 2025, the two teams shared the points in a goalless match.

In terms of personnel, both coaches are grappling with lengthy injury lists:

• Hellas Verona:D. Mosquera and S. Serdar are absent due to knee injuries; C. Niasse and D. Oyegoke are also unavailable due to injury; G. Orban is not registered.
• Lecce:Missing players M. Berisha (thigh injury), K. Gaspar (knee injury), R. Sottil (back injury), and S. Fofana. Notably, Tiago Gabriel is absent due to accumulating too many yellow cards. F. Camarda's participation remains uncertain due to a shoulder injury.

Tactical analysis and result prediction

Given the crucial nature of a relegation battle, both Hellas Verona and Lecce are likely to approach the game cautiously. Statistics show that both teams average fewer than 1.5 goals per game, suggesting a tight match with few goals.

Based on statistical indicators, the likelihood of the match ending in a draw is rated highly at 45%, equivalent to Lecce's win rate. A draw might be more satisfying for the away team than for the home team Verona, who desperately need a win to close the 10-point gap to safety.

Forecast:The match is likely to end in a draw or a narrow victory for Lecce in a scenario where fewer than 3.5 goals are scored.

Team lineup updated at 01:30 on 26/04/2026

Official lineup

Hellas Verona

Diagram: 3-5-2

CoachPaolo Sammarco

Starting lineup:

• 1. Lorenzo Montipo (G)
• 15. Victor Nelson (D)
• 37. Armel Bella-Kotchap (D)
• 5. Andrias Edmundsson (D)
• 7. Rafik Belghali (M)
• 11. Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro (M)
• 63. Roberto Gagliardini (M)
• 24. Antoine Bernede (M)
• 3. Martin Frese (M)
• 10. Tomáš Suslov (F)
• 18. Kieron Bowie (F)

Substitutes:

• 34. Simone Perilli
• 94. Giacomo Toniolo
• 70. Fallou Cham
• 19. Tobias Slotsager
• 14. Pol Lirola
• 6. Nicolás Valentini
• 21. Abdou Harroui
• 4. Sandi Lovrić
• 73. Mutassim Al-Musrati
• 12. Domagoj Bradarić
• 41. Isaac
• 72. Junior Ajayi
• 9. Amin Sarr
• 90. Ioan Vermesan

Lecce

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachEusebio Di Francesco

Starting lineup:

• 30. Wladimiro Falcone (G)
• 17. Danilo Veiga (D)
• 5. Jamil Siebert (D)
• 18. Gaby Jean (D)
• 25. Antonino Gallo (D)
• 29. Lassana Coulibaly (M)
• 20. Ylber Ramadani (M)
• 50. Santiago Pierotti (M)
• 16. Omri Gandelman (M)
• 19. Lameck Banda (M)
• 9. Nikola Štulić (F)

Substitutes:

• 1. Christian Früchtl
• 32. Jasper Samooja
• 3. Corrie Ndaba
• 13. Matías Pérez
• 28. Olaf Gorter
• 14. Þórir Jóhann Helgason
• 36. Filip Marchwiński
• 80. Niko Kovač
• 79. Oumar Ngom
• 11. Konan N'Dri
• 22. Francesco Camarda
• 99. Walid Cheddra