Lazio vs Atalanta Prediction - Serie A: An ultimate challenge for the Olimpico Stadium home team.

At 00:00 on February 15, 2026, the Stadio Olimpico will be the center of attention as Lazio takes on Atalanta in Round 25 of Serie A. This is a direct clash between two clubs fiercely competing for a place in next season's European competitions.

Current league position and form

Atalanta currently sits in 7th place in the league table with 39 points after 24 rounds. The Bergamo-based team is showing extremely consistent form with a run of 5 unbeaten matches, including 3 wins and 2 draws. Their consistent scoring ability, averaging 1.3 goals per game, combined with a solid defense (conceding only 0.9 goals per game) is key to maintaining their position in the top race.

Meanwhile, Lazio are currently in 8th place with 33 points. Despite having home advantage, the capital team is going through a difficult period in terms of form. In their last 5 matches, Lazio have only won 1, drawn 2, and lost 2. Statistics from the beginning of the season show that they have scored 26 goals but have also conceded 23, indicating a lack of balance between their lines.

History of confrontations: An astonishing balance

Looking at the history of their last five encounters, the balance between the two teams is evident, with each side having one win and three matches ending in a draw. Notably, in the first leg match in October 2025, the two teams drew 0-0 at Atalanta's home ground. These statistics highlight the tense nature and pragmatic playing style of both teams whenever they meet.

Team news: Concerns on Lazio's bench.

The biggest problem Lazio faces in this match is a severe personnel crisis. The home team will be missing a number of key players including: S. Gigot (ankle injury), M. Lazzari (calf injury), Pedro (ankle injury) and especially the key player M. Zaccagni due to an abdominal muscle strain. In addition, crucial central defender A. Romagnoli will also be unavailable due to suspension (having accumulated enough yellow cards).

On the other side of the pitch, Atalanta also suffered a setback with young striker C. De Ketelaere absent due to a knee injury. However, with their current squad and rising form, the visitors are still considered the favorites in terms of rotation and maintaining the tempo of the game.

Tactical analysis and prediction

With several key players missing from both defense and attack, Lazio will likely play defensively and prioritize safety in their own half. Meanwhile, Atalanta, currently in high spirits, will try to control the game and exploit the gaps created by Lazio's squad changes.

Based on statistical data, the likelihood of the match ending with fewer than 2.5 goals is very high. Predicted odds show Atalanta having a 45% chance of winning, equivalent to a 45% chance of a draw, while Lazio's chance of winning is only 10%. A draw or a minimal win for the away team is the most likely scenario at the Olimpico this time.

Team lineup updated at 23:30 on February 14, 2026

Official lineup

Lazio

Diagram: 4-3-3

CoachMaurizio Sarri

Starting lineup:

• 94. Ivan Provedel (G)
• 77. Adam Marušić (D)
• 34. Mario Gila Fuentes (D)
• 25. Oliver Provstgaard (D)
• 17. Nuno Tavares (D)
• 7. Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (M)
• 32. Danilo Cataldi (M)
• 24. Kenneth Taylor (M)
• 18. Gustav Isaksen (F)
• 27. Daniel Maldini (F)
• 14. Tijjani Noslin (F)

Substitutes:

• 55. Alessio Furlanetto
• 40. Edoardo Motta
• 23. Elseid Hysaj
• 4. Patric
• 3. Luca Pellegrini
• 6. Nicolò Roosevelt
• 28. Adrian Przyborek
• 71. Valerio Farcomeni
• 21. Reda Belahyane
• 20. Petar Ratkov
• 22. Matteo Cancellier
• 19. Boulaye Dia

Atalanta

Diagram: 3-4-2-1

CoachRaffaele Palladino

Starting lineup:

• 29. Marco Carnesecchi (G)
• 42. Giorgio Scalvini (D)
• 19. Berat Djimsiti (D)
• 69. Honest Ahanor (D)
• 77. Davide Zappacosta (M)
• 15. Marten de Roon (M)
• 13. Anderson (M)
• 47. Lorenzo Bernasconi (M)
• 10. Lazar Samardžić (F)
• 59. Nicola Zalewski (F)
• 90. Nikola Krstović (F)

Substitutes:

• 57. Marco Sportiello
• 31. Francesco Rossi
• 23. Sead Kolašinac
• 5. Mitchel Bakker
• 4. Isak Hien
• 3. Odilon Kossounou
• 16. Raoul Bellanova
• 6. Yunus Musah
• 8. Mario Pašalić
• 18. Giacomo Raspadori
• 7. Kamaldeen Sulemana
• 9. Gianluca Scamacca