Lazio vs Bologna Prediction: Contrasting Form in Serie A

Match context

At 00:00 on December 8th, 2025, Lazio will face Bologna at the Stadio Olimpico in a match that is expected to be a tough one for the home team. Bologna are having an impressive season, currently sitting in 5th place in the league table, while Lazio are showing inconsistent form and are ranked 9th.

Form and statistics

The difference in their positions on the league table clearly reflects the recent form of the two teams. Bologna is showing incredible consistency, while Lazio is struggling to maintain their positive run of form.

Lazio: Seeking Stability

In their last five Serie A matches, Lazio have only managed two wins, one draw, and two losses. After 13 rounds, the Olimpico Stadium team has five wins, three draws, and five losses, accumulating 18 points. Their biggest strength is their home record, with four wins and only one loss in six matches played.

• Number of matches played: 13
• Win:5 (4 home games)
• Peace:3 (1 home game)
• Lose:5 (1 home game)
• Goal:15 (average 1.2 goals per match)
• Goal conceded:10 (average 0.8 goals/match)

Bologna: Maintaining the momentum

In contrast to their opponents, Bologna are in excellent form, having won 3, drawn 1, and lost only 1 of their last 5 matches. With 24 points after 13 games, the visitors are firmly in 5th place. They have also shown their strength when playing away from home, with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 7 matches.

• Number of matches played: 13
• Win:7 (3 away games)
• Peace:3 (2 away games)
• Lose:3 (2 away games)
• Goal:22 (average 1.7 goals per match)
• Goal conceded:11 (average 0.8 goals/match)

History of confrontations

The head-to-head record in the last five meetings favors Bologna. The visitors have won three times, compared to only one for Lazio, and there was one draw. Most notably, Bologna's crushing 5-0 victory in March 2025 could affect the morale of the Lazio players.

• 16/03/2025:Bologna 5 - 0 Lazio
• 25/11/2024:Lazio 3 - 0 Bologna
• 18/02/2024:Lazio 1 - 2 Bologna
• 04/11/2023:Bologna 1 - 0 Lazio
• 12/03/2023:Bologna 0 - 0 Lazio

Force situation

Both teams are facing significant personnel losses due to injuries, which could directly impact their playing style and the outcome of the match.

Lazio

• D. Cataldi: Absent due to injury.
• S. Gigot: Absent due to ankle injury.
• E. Hysaj: Not competing.
• N. Rovella: Absent due to groin injury.

Bologna

• K. Bonifazi: Not competing.
• R. Freuler: Absent due to shoulder injury.
• L. Skorupski: Absent due to thigh injury.
• M. Vitik: Absent due to muscle injury.

Analysis and predictions

Based on current form, league position, and head-to-head history, Bologna is considered the favorite despite playing away from home. Their stability and effectiveness give them a good chance of earning points against a struggling Lazio. Analysis suggests a high probability of Bologna winning or drawing. Specifically, the probability of the away team winning is 45%, equal to the probability of a draw, while Lazio's chances of winning are only 10%.

Team lineup updated at 23:23 on 07/12/2025

Official lineup

Lazio

Diagram: 4-3-3

CoachMaurizio Sarri

Starting lineup:

• 94. Ivan Provedel (G)
• 77. Adam Marušić (D)
• 34. Mario Gila Fuentes (D)
• 13. Alessio Romagnoli (D)
• 17. Nuno Tavares (D)
• 8. Mattéo Guendouzi (M)
• 32. Danilo Catalli (M)
• 26. Toma Bašić (M)
• 18. Gustav Isaksen (F)
• 11. Valentín Castellanos (F)
• 10. Mattia Zaccagni (F)

Substitutes:

• 55. Alessio Furlanetto
• 35. Christos Mandas
• 25. Oliver Provstgaard
• 3. Luca Pellegrini
• 4. Patric
• 29. Manuel Lazzari
• 7. Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
• 21. Reda Belahyane
• 5. Matías Vecino
• 22. Matteo Cancellier
• 19. Boulaye Dia
• 9. Pedro
• 14. Tijjani Noslin

Bologna

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachVincenzo Italiano

Starting lineup:

• 13. Federico Ravaglia (G)
• 20. Nadir Zortea (D)
• 14. Torbjørn Heggem (D)
• 16. Nicolò Casale (D)
• 33. Juan Miranda (D)
• 6. Nikola Moro (M)
• 4. Tommaso Pobega (M)
• 7. Riccardo Orsolini (M)
• 21. Jens Odgaard (M)
• 28. Nicolò Cambiaghi (M)
• 9. Santiago Castro (F)

Substitutes:

• 82. Matteo Franceschelli
• 25. Massimo Pessina
• 29. Lorenzo De Silvestri
• 22. Charalampos Lykogiannis
• 26. Jhon Lucumí
• 2. Emil Holm
• 77. Ibrahim Sulemana
• 30. Benjamín Domínguez
• 10. Federico Bernardeschi
• 80. Giovanni Fabbian
• 19. Lewis Ferguson
• 24. Thijs Dallinga
• 11. Jonathan Rowe
• 17. Ciro Immobile