Lazio vs Fiorentina Prediction - Serie A: Opportunity to break away at Olimpico
Lazio aims to capitalize on their home advantage to secure all three points against a struggling Fiorentina sitting in 19th place, despite recent head-to-head history favoring the visitors.
The Serie A match between Lazio and Fiorentina will take place at 02:45 on January 8, 2026, at the Stadio Olimpico. This is a clash between a team striving to climb into the top group and an opponent struggling in the relegation battle.
Position in the standings and match context
Currently, Lazio sits in 9th place in the league table with 24 points after 18 rounds. Meanwhile, Fiorentina is in a precarious situation, ranking 19th with only 12 points. This match is seen as an excellent opportunity for Lazio to improve their ranking, and also a major test of the visitors' mettle.
| Team | Location | Point | Recent form |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 9 | 24 | Win 1, Draw 2, Loss 2 |
| Fiorentina | 19 | 12 | Win 2, Loss 3 |
Performance analysis: A stark contrast.
Lazio have maintained a relatively stable record at their Olimpico stadium. In 18 matches played this season, they have secured 6 wins, including 4 at home. Lazio's defense is a solid foundation, conceding an average of only 0.8 goals per game, placing them among the most disciplined defenses in the league.
In stark contrast, Fiorentina is experiencing a disastrous season, especially when playing away from home. The team has yet to taste victory away from home this season, with 4 draws and 5 losses. Their defense is their Achilles' heel, having conceded 28 goals in 18 matches (an average of 1.6 goals per game), rendering their attacking efforts futile.
The history of their encounters and the statistics speak for themselves.
Despite their lower current league position, Fiorentina have proven to be Lazio's nemesis in recent encounters. In their last five matches, Fiorentina have held a clear advantage with three wins, while Lazio have only managed one win and one draw. Notably, Fiorentina have won all three of the most recent meetings between the two teams with the same 2-1 scoreline.
- January 27, 2025: Lazio 1 - 2 Fiorentina
- September 22, 2024: Fiorentina 2 - 1 Lazio
- February 27, 2024: Fiorentina 2 - 1 Lazio
- October 31, 2023: Lazio 1 - 0 Fiorentina
- January 30, 2023: Lazio 1 - 1 Fiorentina
Team situation and tactical predictions
Lazio will go into this match without Patric due to an ankle sprain. This is a significant blow to the home team's defense. On the other side, Fiorentina currently have no serious injuries and can field their strongest lineup.
Based on statistical indicators, Lazio is considered to have a higher chance of winning or at least a draw. Experts predict Lazio has a 35% chance of winning, while the probability of a draw is also 35%. With home advantage and more consistent form, Lazio is likely to take control of the game to break their recent losing streak against Fiorentina.
Predict the result
Based on their form and home advantage, Lazio are expected to secure at least one point in this match. The game is unlikely to have many goals due to the cautious approach of both teams in the current circumstances.
Team lineup updated at 02:08 on 08/01/2026
Official lineup
Lazio
Diagram: 4-3-3
CoachMaurizio Sarri
Starting lineup:
- 94. Ivan Provedel (G)
- 29. Manuel Lazzari (D)
- 34. Mario Gila Fuentes (D)
- 13. Alessio Romagnoli (D)
- 3. Luca Pellegrini (D)
- 8. Mattéo Guendouzi (M)
- 32. Danilo Cataldi (M)
- 26. Toma Bašić (M)
- 18. Gustav Isaksen (F)
- 22. Matteo Cancellieri (F)
- 10. Mattia Zaccagni (F)
Substitutes:
- 35. Christos Mandas
- 55. Alessio Furlanetto
- 25. Oliver Provstgaard
- 23. Elseid Hysaj
- 17. Nuno Tavares
- 21. Reda Belahyane
- 6. Nicolò Roosevelt
- 5. Matías Vecino
- 63. Federico Serra
- 9. Pedro
Fiorentina
Diagram: 3-5-1-1
CoachPaolo Vanoli
Starting lineup:
- 43. David De Gea (G)
- 5. Marin Pongračić (D)
- 15. Pietro Comuzzo (D)
- 21. Robin Gosens (D)
- 2. Dodo (M)
- 8. Rolando Mandragora (M)
- 44. Nicolò Fagioli (M)
- 27. Cher Ndou (M)
- 65. Fabiano Parisi (M)
- 10. Albert Guðmundsson (F)
- 91. Roberto Piccoli (F)
Substitutes:
- 1. Luca Lezzerini
- 53. Oliver Christensen
- 6. Luca Ranieri
- 23. Eman Košpo
- 60. Eddy Kouadio
- 18. Pablo Marí
- 29. Niccolò Fortini
- 19. Solomon Manor
- 14. Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
- 7. Simon Sohm
- 20. Moise Kean
- 99. Christian Kouamé
