Lazio vs Genoa Prediction - Serie A: The Home Team's Defensive Challenge

The clash between Lazio and Genoa at 02:45 on January 31, 2026, at the Stadio Olimpico takes place against a backdrop of two teams at opposite ends of the spectrum in terms of form and squad strength. While Lazio is striving to close the gap with the top teams, Genoa is showing incredible resilience in recent rounds.

02:45 on January 31st: A challenge for Lazio's defense.

Lazio enter this round in 9th place in the league table, with 29 points after 22 matches. However, the capital team's form is showing signs of stagnation, having only won 1 of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 losses). Their biggest strength remains their defensive organization with a low goal-conceding rate, averaging only 0.9 goals per game.

Conversely, Genoa, despite being 13th with 23 points, is currently enjoying a confident run of form. The visitors have been unbeaten in their last five matches, with two wins and three draws. This improvement in their playing style has made the Ligurian team a formidable opponent at the moment.

Position in the Serie A standings

History of confrontations: The dominance of the Eagles

Looking solely at the head-to-head statistics, Lazio is clearly superior to their opponent. In the last five encounters, Lazio has won all five matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding only one.

• September 30, 2025: Genoa 0 - 3 Lazio
• April 23, 2025: Genoa 0 - 2 Lazio
• October 27, 2024: Lazio 3 - 0 Genoa
• April 19, 2024: Genoa 0 - 1 Lazio
• December 6, 2023: Lazio 1 - 0 Genoa

Staffing crisis at Stadio Olimpico

The biggest challenge for Lazio in this match is the serious weakness in their defense. The home team will be without three key central defenders: S. Gigot (ankle injury), Patric (calf injury), and A. Romagnoli. In addition, midfielder N. Rovella's participation is still uncertain due to not being in his best physical condition.

On the other side of the pitch, Genoa will also be without T. Baldanzi and A. Gronbaek due to injury, while goalkeeper B. Siegrist is having a finger problem and needs further monitoring.

Expert opinions and tactical predictions

Despite Lazio having home advantage and history on their side, the loss of key defensive players could leave them vulnerable against Genoa's counter-attacking style. The visitors, with their consistent form, are considered highly likely to secure at least one point in the capital.

Predicted odds suggest that the away team has a 90% chance of winning or drawing (45% chance of a draw and 45% chance of an away team winning). This could be a close match with few goals scored by either side.

Forecast:Genoa win or draw.

Team lineup updated at 02:23 on 31/01/2026

Official lineup

Lazio

Diagram: 4-3-3

CoachMaurizio Sarri

Starting lineup:

• 94. Ivan Provedel (G)
• 77. Adam Marušić (D)
• 34. Mario Gila Fuentes (D)
• 25. Oliver Provstgaard (D)
• 3. Luca Pellegrini (D)
• 26. Toma Bašić (M)
• 32. Danilo Catalli (M)
• 24. Kenneth Taylor (M)
• 18. Gustav Isaksen (F)
• 27. Daniel Maldini (F)
• 9. Pedro (F)

Substitutes:

• 40. Edoardo Motta
• 55. Alessio Furlanetto
• 17. Nuno Tavares
• 23. Elseid Hysaj
• 29. Manuel Lazzari
• 10. Mattia Zaccagni
• 21. Reda Belahyane
• 5. Matías Vecino
• 6. Nicolò Roosevelt
• 7. Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
• 19. Boulaye Dia
• 20. Petar Ratkov
• 14. Tijjani Noslin
• 22. Matteo Cancellier

net

Diagram: 3-5-2

CoachDaniele De Rossi

Starting lineup:

• 16. Justin Bijlow (G)
• 27. Alessandro Marcandalli (D)
• 5. Leo Østigård (D)
• 22. Johan Vásquez (D)
• 15. Brooke Norton-Cuffy (M)
• 77. Mikael Ellertsson (M)
• 32. Morten Frendrop (M)
• 17. Ruslan Malinovskyi (M)
• 3. Aarón Martín (M)
• 9. Vitinha (F)
• 29. Lorenzo Colombo (F)

Substitutes:

• 1. Nicola Leani
• 39. Daniele Sommariva
• 13. Nils Zätterström
• 20. Stefano Sabelli
• 34. Sebastian Otoa
• 42. Alin Kumer
• 2. Morten Thorsby
• 73. Patrizio Masini
• 30. Hugo Cuenca
• 14. Jean Onana
• 70. Maxwel Cornet
• 10. Junior Messias
• 86. Joi Xheto Nuredini
• 18. Caleb Ekuban
• 21. Jeff Ekhator