Lazio vs Parma Prediction: The Olimpico Stadium as a Key Advantage - Serie A
Lazio aim to keep pace with the European cup qualification spots when they host Parma at 01:45 on April 5, 2026. The home team possesses a superior head-to-head record and consistent form.
The Serie A match between Lazio and Parma will take place at 01:45 on April 5, 2026, at the Stadio Olimpico. This is an important clash for the home team, Lazio, as they strive to improve their position in the standings, currently sitting in the upper half and enjoying impressive form in recent rounds.
Current league position and form
Currently, Lazio is ranked 8th in the league table with 43 points after 30 matches. The capital team has maintained a fairly good form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. Conversely, Parma is ranked 12th with 34 points and has shown inconsistent form, having only achieved 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches.
| Team | Location | Point | Performance in the last 5 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 8 | 43 | 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss |
| Parma | 12 | 34 | Win 1, draw 2, lose 2 |
Analysis of goal difference and scoring ability
Lazio have shown a pragmatic approach to their game this season. After 30 matches, they have scored 31 goals (an average of 1 goal per game) but conceded only 28. Notably, Lazio have been very solid at home, with 7 wins and only 4 losses at the Stadio Olimpico.
On the other side of the pitch, Parma are struggling at both ends of the field. They have only scored 21 goals (an average of 0.7 goals per game) and conceded 38. However, Parma's away record isn't too bad, with 5 of their 8 wins this season coming from away games.
Head-to-head history and key statistics
History is heavily in favor of the Roman team in blue. In the last five encounters, Lazio have won three, drawn one, and lost only one match. Notably, in the first leg, which took place in December 2025, Lazio defeated Parma away from home with a minimal score of 1-0.
- December 14, 2025: Parma 0 - 1 Lazio
- April 29, 2025: Lazio 2 - 2 Parma
- December 1, 2024: Parma 3 - 1 Lazio
- May 13, 2021: Lazio 1 - 0 Parma
- January 22, 2021: Lazio 2 - 1 Parma
Injury and suspension situation
Both teams faced significant personnel losses ahead of this match.
The home team is Lazio.
- S. Gigot: Absent due to ankle injury.
- I. Provedel: Absent due to shoulder injury.
- N. Rovella: Absent due to a fractured clavicle.
- M. Zaccagni: Absent due to thigh injury.
- T. Basic and M. Gila: Their availability is uncertain due to muscle and knee injuries.
The visiting team is Parma.
- P. Almqvist: Absent due to thigh injury.
- M. Frigan: Absent due to knee injury.
- M. Troilo: Absent due to suspension (accumulated yellow cards).
- B. Cremaschi: Absent due to injury.
Tactical analysis and predictions
With the home advantage and a slightly superior squad, Lazio is predicted to take control of the game. The odds of a home win and a draw are both at 45%, while Parma's chances of winning are only 10%. The match is unlikely to have many goals as both teams' attacking lines haven't been performing at their best this season.
Predicted result:Lazio win or draw, the match has under 3.5 goals.
Team lineup updated at 01:30 on 05/04/2026
Official lineup
Lazio
Diagram: 4-3-3
CoachMaurizio Sarri
Starting lineup:
- 40. Edoardo Motta (G)
- 77. Adam Marušić (D)
- 25. Oliver Provstgaard (D)
- 13. Alessio Romagnoli (D)
- 17. Nuno Tavares (D)
- 7. Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (M)
- 32. Danilo Cataldi (M)
- 24. Kenneth Taylor (M)
- 18. Gustav Isaksen (F)
- 27. Daniel Maldini (F)
- 9. Pedro (F)
Substitutes:
- 26. Toma Bašić
- 99. Giacomo Giacomone
- 71. Valerio Farcomeni
- 21. Reda Belahyane
- 29. Manuel Lazzari
- 22. Matteo Cancellier
- 19. Boulaye Dia
- 23. Elseid Hysaj
- 14. Tijjani Noslin
- 20. Petar Ratkov
- 28. Adrian Przyborek
- 55. Alessio Furlanetto
Parma
Diagram: 3-5-2
CoachCarlos Cuesta
Starting lineup:
- 31. Zion Suzuki (G)
- 15. Enrico Delprato (D)
- 39. Alessandro Circati (D)
- 5. Lautaro Valentini (D)
- 27. Sascha Britschgi (M)
- 41. Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (M)
- 16. Mandela Keita (M)
- 10. Adrián Bernabé (M)
- 14. Emanuele Valeri (M)
- 7. Gabriel Strefezza (F)
- 9. Mateo Pellegrino (F)
Substitutes:
- 23. Nesta Elphege
- 66. Filippo Rinaldi
- 63. Marlon Mena
- 40. Edoardo Corvi
- 8. Nahuel Estévez
- 21. Gaetano Oristanio
- 3. Abdoulaye Ndiaye
- 24. Christian Ordoñez
- 29. Franco Carboni
- 22. Oliver Sørensen
- 17. Jacob Ondrejka
