Le Havre vs Toulouse Prediction - Ligue 1 Round 22

The clash between Le Havre and Toulouse in Round 22 of Ligue 1, at 9:00 PM on February 15th (Vietnam time), promises to be a tense tactical battle. While the visiting team, Toulouse, is in a relatively safe position in the middle of the table, the home team, Le Havre, is desperate for points to increase their lead over the relegation zone.

Match context and league position

Currently, Toulouse is ranked 9th in the league table with 30 points after 21 matches played. The team has shown a certain balance with 8 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses. Notably, Toulouse's away performance is quite impressive, having secured 4 away wins this season.

Conversely, Le Havre is currently ranked 13th with 23 points. The home team is facing a scoring challenge with an average of only 0.9 goals per game. However, their home ground, Stade Océane, remains a crucial advantage, as the majority of their points (4 wins and 5 draws) have been earned there.

Analysis of form and playing style

Le Havre: Home advantage

Le Havre enters this match in inconsistent form. In their last 21 games, they have won 5, drawn 8, and lost 8. The home team's biggest weakness lies in their attack, having only scored 18 goals, while their defense has conceded 26. To get points against Toulouse, Le Havre needs to improve their finishing and maintain maximum concentration in defense.

Toulouse: Strength from their attack

Toulouse possesses a more free-flowing style of play, having scored 31 goals since the start of the season (an average of 1.5 goals per game). Although their defense has also conceded 24 goals, the sharpness of their forwards makes them a consistently difficult opponent. Their recent form has also been quite stable, with 2 wins in their last 5 domestic league matches.

History of confrontations and current team situation.

The head-to-head history between the two teams in the last 5 matches is perfectly balanced, with each team having 2 wins and 1 draw. In the first leg in November 2025, the two teams shared the points in a pragmatic goalless draw.

Absent list

• Le Havre:A. Seko (rib injury), A. Toure (knee injury), E. Youte Kinkoue (health issue). EK Vinette's availability is uncertain.
• Toulouse:I. Azizi (knee injury), A. Francis (broken leg). F. Magri, A. Dominguez and A. Vossah are doubtful to play.

Predict the result

Based on statistics and squad situation, Toulouse is considered slightly superior due to their diverse attacking capabilities. However, Le Havre, with the home advantage, will prioritize a deep defensive style of play to secure at least one point.

This is likely to be a tight match with few goals scored. Experts are considering a narrow victory for Toulouse or a low-scoring draw as the most likely scenario.

Team lineup updated at 20:30 on February 15, 2026

Official lineup

Le Havre

Diagram: 3-4-1-2

CoachDidier Digard

Starting lineup:

• 99. Mory Diaw (G)
• 29. Stephan Zagadou (D)
• 4. Gautier Lloris (D)
• 93. Arouna Sangante (D)
• 7. Loic Négo (M)
• 19. Lucas Gourna-Douath (M)
• 26. Simon Ebonog (M)
• 18. Yanis Zouaoui (M)
• 14. Rassoul Ndiaye (F)
• 45. Issa Soumaré (F)
• 17. Sofiane Boufal (F)

Substitutes:

• 77. Lionel M'Pasi
• 32. Timothee Pembele
• 8. Yassine Kechta
• 11. Godson Kyeremeh
• 78. Daren Nbenbege Mosengo
• 13. Fodé Doucouré
• 25. Mbwana Ally Samatta
• 20. Noam Obougou Jacquet
• 33. Kenny Quetant

Toulouse

Diagram: 3-4-2-1

CoachDales Martinez

Starting lineup:

• 1. Guillaume Restes (G)
• 2. Rasmus Nicolaisen (D)
• 4. Charlie Cresswell (D)
• 3. Mark McKenzie (D)
• 22. Rafik Messali (M)
• 23. Cristian Casseres Jr. (M)
• 18. Pape Diop (M)
• 19. Djibril Sidibé (M)
• 10. Yann Gboho (F)
• 15. Aron Dønnum (F)
• 20. Emerson (F)

Substitutes:

• 16. Kjetil Haug
• 40. Naime Said Mchindra
• 35. Seny Koumbassa
• 12. Warren Kamanzi
• 24. Dayann Methalie
• 77. Mario Sauer
• 7. Julian Vignolo
• 13. Jacen Russell-Rowe
• 11. Santiago Hidalgo