Lecce vs Como Prediction - Serie A
Como is striving to close the gap on European cup qualification spots in their away match against Lecce, who are currently facing a severe personnel crisis, in Serie A.
The match between Lecce and Como at Stadio Ettore Giardiniero at 9:00 PM on December 27, 2025, showcased two contrasting extremes in the Serie A standings. While the visiting team Como is thriving in 7th place, the home team Lecce is striving for stability to break away from 14th place.
Current league position and form
Como are having an impressive season, currently sitting in 7th place with 24 points after 15 matches. Their playing style is based on a balance between an attack that has scored 19 goals and a defense that has only conceded 12. On the other hand, Lecce are in 14th place with 16 points, possessing the second-weakest attack in the league with only 11 goals scored.
| Team | Location | Point | Form (last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 7 | 24 | 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses |
| Lecce | 14 | 16 | 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses |
Lecce: Home advantage and the goal-scoring challenge
Despite having home advantage, Lecce have only scored an average of 0.7 goals per game since the start of the season. With a goal difference of -8, the coach's team is struggling to break through well-organized defenses. However, they have secured 2 wins and 3 draws at home, showing that Via del Mare remains a difficult place to visit.
Como: The resilience of a top 6 contender
The coach's team has shown good adaptability away from home with 2 wins and 3 draws. Their scoring rate of 1.3 goals per game is a stable figure, giving them confidence to aim for all three points on this trip, especially considering their solid defense (0.8 goals conceded per game).
Head-to-head history: The away team holds the advantage.
In their last five encounters, Como has a better record with two wins and two draws, while Lecce has only managed one victory. Notably, in their most recent meeting in April 2025, Como secured a dominant 3-0 win away at Lecce, creating a significant psychological barrier for the home team.
Team situation: Personnel crisis
Both teams enter this match with extensive absence lists, which will directly impact the quality of play and the ability to rotate the squad.
Lecce:The home team suffered the most significant blow with key central defender K. Gaspar absent due to both suspension and international duty. L. Banda and L. Coulibaly are also absent for similar reasons. The injury list continues with M. Berisha, G. Jean, and F. Marchwinski. B. Pierret's availability remains uncertain.
Como:The visiting team will be without their main striker, A. Morata, due to injury. Their defense is also weakened by the absence of A. Dossena and E. Goldaniga. Players like S. Roberto and M. Caqueret are also uncertain to be in the starting lineup.
Tactical analysis and forecasting
Based on statistical data, the match is predicted to be close. Como is considered the favorite with a 45% chance of winning, while the probability of a draw is also similar. With both teams missing key attacking players, a scenario with fewer than 3.5 goals is highly likely. A draw or a minimal victory for Como would be the most logical outcome for this encounter.
Team lineup updated at 20:23 on December 27, 2025
Official lineup
Lecce
Diagram: 4-1-4-1
CoachEusebio Di Francesco
Starting lineup:
- 30. Wladimiro Falcone (G)
- 17. Danilo Veiga (D)
- 5. Jamil Siebert (D)
- 44. Tiago Gabriel (D)
- 25. Antonino Gallo (D)
- 20. Ylber Ramadani (M)
- 50. Santiago Pierotti (M)
- 77. Mohamed Kaba (M)
- 93. Youssef Maleh (M)
- 23. Riccardo Sottil (M)
- 9. Nikola Štulić (F)
Substitutes:
- 88. Plamen Penev
- 32. Jasper Samooja
- 18. Gaby Jean
- 13. Matías Pérez Sepúlveda
- 3. Corrie Ndaba
- 21. Christ-Owen Kouassi
- 80. Niko Kovač
- 6. Alex Sala
- 28. Olaf Gorter
- 14. Þórir Jóhann Helgason
- 22. Francesco Camarda
- 11. Konan N'Dri
Como
Diagram: 4-2-3-1
CoachCesc Fabregas
Starting lineup:
- 1. Jean Butez (G)
- 28. Ivan Smolčić (D)
- 14. Jacobo Ramón (D)
- 34. Diego Carlos (D)
- 18. Alberto Moreno (D)
- 23. Máximo Perrone (M)
- 33. Lucas Da Cunha (M)
- 31. Mërgim Vojvoda (M)
- 10. Nico Paz (M)
- 17. Jesús Rodriguez (M)
- 11. Anastasios Douvikas (F)
Substitutes:
- 22. Mauro Vigorito
- 44. Nikola Čavlina
- 2. Marc-Oliver Kempf
- 27. Stefan Posch
- 77. Ignace Van der Brempt
- 4. Alberto Dossena
- 3. Álex Valle
- 8. Sergi Roberto
- 6. Maxence Caqueret
- 20. Martin Baturina
- 55. Andrea Le Borgne
- 99. Alberto Cerri
- 19. Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn
