Lille vs Aston Villa Prediction - UEFA Europa League
Aston Villa are flying high in second place in the league table with a run of five consecutive wins, while hosts Lille face a tough squad selection issue at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
At 00:45 on March 13, 2026, the Stade Pierre-Mauroy will be the center of attention as Lille hosts Aston Villa in the UEFA Europa League. This is a clash between two teams with completely contrasting form: a resurgent Aston Villa and a struggling Lille languishing in the lower half of the league table.
Context and ranking position
Aston Villa are showing impressive strength in European competition this season. The English team currently sits second in the table with 21 points after 8 matches. Meanwhile, Lille are in 18th place with 12 points after 10 matches. The difference in points and ranking clearly reflects the stability that Aston Villa are maintaining compared to the inconsistency of the French team.
| Team | Location | Point | form |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 2 | 21 | Win 5 consecutive matches |
| Lille | 18 | 12 | Win 2, Loss 3 |
Performance and professional statistics
Lille: Seeking stability at home.
Lille's recent performances have been a cause for concern for fans. In their last 10 matches, they have won 5 but also lost 5. Their scoring efficiency is a mere 1.3 goals per game, while their defense concedes an average of 1 goal per game. Notably, Lille have won 3 out of their 5 home games this season, indicating that Stade Pierre-Mauroy remains an important source of morale.
Aston Villa: Superior attacking power
Conversely, Aston Villa are in devastating form with a streak of 5 consecutive wins. They have won 7 of their last 8 matches, losing only once. Villa's attacking performance is impressive, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while their defense has conceded only 0.8 goals per game. They have also secured 3 away wins, confirming their status as a title contender.
History of confrontations and current team situation.
In the most recent encounter, the two teams met in a European competition in April 2024. The result was fairly balanced, with each team securing a 2-1 victory at their home ground. However, the current squad situation presents a challenge for both coaches.
List of notable absentees
Lille:The home team suffered a major blow with the absence of M. Caillard and O. Sahraoui (due to injury), and H. Igamane and O. Toure (both with knee injuries). In particular, the absence of E. Mbappe due to a thigh injury will significantly impact the attacking line's attacking potential.
Aston Villa:The visiting team will also be without Y. Tielemans (ankle injury), B. Kamara (knee injury), and A. Garcia (muscle injury). Captain J. McGinn's participation is currently uncertain due to a knee problem.
Tactical analysis and predictions
Based on statistical indicators and current form, Aston Villa is rated significantly higher with a predicted win probability of up to 45%. The likelihood of the match ending in a draw is also set at 45%, while the chances of a win for the home team Lille are only 10%.
Aston Villa's direct and effective attacking style is likely to prevail against a depleted Lille defense. However, the nature of a Europa League group stage match often holds many surprises. Aiming to maintain their top position, Villa may approach the game proactively but cautiously, aiming for at least a draw or a minimal victory.
Team lineup updated at 00:15 on March 13, 2026
Official lineup
Lille
Diagram: 4-3-3
CoachBruno Genesio
Starting lineup:
- 1. Berke Özer (G)
- 22. Tiago Santos (D)
- 18. Chancel Mbemba (D)
- 23. Aïssa Mandi (D)
- 15. Romain Perraud (D)
- 17. Ngal'ayel Mukau (M)
- 21. Benjamin André (M)
- 6. Nabil Bentaleb (M)
- 28. Gaëtan Perrin (F)
- 9. Olivier Giroud (F)
- 10. Hakon Arnar Haraldsson (F)
Substitutes:
- 16. Arnaud Bodart
- 60. Zadig Lanssade
- 3. Nathan Ngoy
- 4. Alexsandro Ribeiro
- 12. Thomas Meunier
- 24. Calvin Verdonk
- 27. Félix Correia
- 32. Ayyoub Bouaddi
- 42. Saad Boussadia
- 7. Matías Fernández
- 20. Noah Edjouma
- 35. Soriba Diaoune
Aston Villa
Diagram: 4-4-2
CoachUnai Emery
Starting lineup:
- 23. Emiliano Martínez (G)
- 26. Lamare Bogarde (D)
- 4. Ezri Konsa (D)
- 14. Pau Torres (D)
- 12. Lucas Digne (D)
- 19. Jadon Sancho (M)
- 21. Douglas Luiz (M)
- 24. Amadou Onana (M)
- 27. Morgan Rogers (M)
- 11. Ollie Watkins (F)
- 10. Emiliano Buendía (F)
Substitutes:
- 40. Marco Bizot
- 64. James Wright
- 3. Victor Lindelöf
- 5. Tyrone Mings
- 16. Andrés García
- 22. Ian Maatsen
- 7. John McGinn
- 9. Harvey Elliott
- 31. Leon Bailey
- 18. Tammy Abraham
