Liverpool vs Qarabag Prediction - UEFA Champions League

Liverpool will face Qarabag at Anfield, with the Merseyside team maintaining consistent form in continental competitions. Despite being considered the stronger side, the biggest challenge for the Anfield side is their extensive injury list, forcing the coaching staff to carefully consider their personnel choices.

Match information

The match between Liverpool and Qarabag will take place at 03:00 on January 29, 2026, at Anfield Stadium. This is a crucial encounter that will directly affect the rankings of both teams in the overall league table.

League position and recent form

Currently, Liverpool are 4th in the league table with 15 points after 7 matches. The English team has shown impressive attacking strength, scoring 14 goals (an average of 2.0 goals per game) and conceding only 8. Liverpool's form is quite stable with 4 wins in their last 5 matches.

Meanwhile, Qarabag is ranked 18th with 10 points. The Azerbaijani team has played a total of 13 matches this season, winning 8 but also suffering 4 defeats. Despite having a good scoring record (2.2 goals per game), Qarabag's defense has shown many weaknesses, having conceded 20 goals.

Performance statistics

• Liverpool:They have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches. Their goal difference at home is very stable.
• Qarabag:Their recent away form has been inconsistent, with a relatively high percentage of losses.

Team news: Liverpool's headache.

Liverpool entered this match with significant personnel losses. The home team's list of absentees included many key players:

• S. Bajcetic and C. Scanlon:Absent due to a hamstring injury.
• C. Bradley and G. Leoni:He is sidelined due to a knee injury.
• J. Gomez:Absent due to unspecified injury.
• A. Isak:He is sidelined for an extended period due to a broken leg.
• I. Konate:Absent due to personal reasons.
• R. Williams:Not on the list of players.
• F. Chiesa:His availability for the match is still uncertain due to a minor injury.

On Qarabag's side, they will be without goalkeeper S. Mahammadaliyev due to injury, along with A. Rzayev and R. Sheydayev, who are not included in the squad traveling to England.

Tactical analysis and prediction

Based on statistical data, Liverpool remains the dominant team with an expected win probability of around 45%. However, the likelihood of a draw is also considered equally high (45%), reflecting caution given the home team's depleted squad. Qarabag's chances of causing an upset are only 10%.

Tactically, Liverpool are likely to take control of the ball and apply pressure from the start to seek an early advantage. However, with several key defenders missing, they need to be wary of counter-attacks from the visitors. Experts predict this will be a low-scoring match, with Liverpool expected to score under 2.5 goals.

Forecast:Liverpool will win or draw. The match could end with at least two goals scored.

Team lineup updated at 02:23 on 29/01/2026

Official lineup

Liverpool

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachArne Slot

Starting lineup:

• 1. Alisson (G)
• 30. Jeremie Frimpong (D)
• 38. Ryan Gravenberch (D)
• 4. Virgil van Dijk (D)
• 26. Andrew Robertson (D)
• 8. Dominik Szoboszlai (M)
• 10. Alexis Mac Allister (M)
• 11. Mohamed Salah (M)
• 7. Florian Wirtz (M)
• 18. Cody Gakpo (M)
• 22. Hugo Ekitiké (F)

Substitutes:

• 25. Giorgi Mamardashvili
• 28. Freddie Woodman
• 6. Miloš Kerkez
• 65. Amara Nallo
• 3. Wataru Endo
• 42. Trey Nyoni
• 68. Kieran Morrison
• 14. Federico Chiesa
• 73. Rio Ngumoha

Qarabag

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachQurban Qurbanov

Starting lineup:

• 99. Mateusz Kochalski (G)
• 2. Matheus Silva (D)
• 13. Bahlul Mustafazada (D)
• 81. Kevin Medina (D)
• 44. Elvin Jafarguliyev (D)
• 35. Pedro Bicalho (M)
• 8. Marko Janković (M)
• 15. Leandro Andrade (M)
• 9. Joni Montiel (M)
• 10. Abdellah Zoubir (M)
• 17. Camilo Durán (F)

Substitutes:

• 97. Fabijan Buntić
• 89. Amin Ramazanov
• 55. Bədavi Hüseynov
• 30. Abbas Hüseynov
• 27. Toral Bayramov
• 3. Samy Mmaee
• 11. Emmanuel Addai
• 21. Oleksiy Kashchuk
• 6. Chris Kouakou
• 18. Dani Bolt
• 22. Musa Qurbanlı
• 7. Nariman Akhundzade