Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction - A Do-or-die Match in La Liga

The match between Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano at 9:15 PM on April 12, 2026, at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix is ​​not just a football game, but also a test of character for the home team's ambition to remain in the top Spanish league. Currently sitting in 18th place, the pressure on Mallorca's coach and his team is greater than ever.

Position in the standings and match context

Currently, Rayo Vallecano is in a relatively safe position at 13th place with 35 points, while Mallorca is in the relegation zone at 18th place with 31 points. The 4-point gap could be significantly narrowed if the home team makes good use of their home advantage at Son Moix.

Analyzing team form and strength

Mallorca: The home advantage at Son Moix.

Despite being ranked 18th, statistics show that Mallorca is a team that performs well at home but poorly away. Of their 8 wins this season, 7 were achieved at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. However, their defense is a major concern, having conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game.

Rayo Vallecano: The necessary stability

The away team enters this match in fairly stable form, having lost only 1 of their last 5 games. However, Rayo Vallecano's away form remains questionable, with 9 defeats on the road this season. Their attack is also not particularly sharp, having scored only 29 goals in 30 matches.

Team news: Serious losses in defense.

Both teams faced significant personnel losses ahead of this match.

• Mallorca:The home team suffered a major blow to their defense. Martin Valjent was absent due to accumulating too many yellow cards. In addition, key players such as Antonio Raillo, L. Bergstrom, M. Joseph, and J. Salas were all absent due to various injuries, with Joseph and Salas suffering serious knee problems.
• Rayo Vallecano:Diego Mendez is definitely out due to a knee injury. The availability of goalkeeper Augusto Batalla (muscle injury) and Francisco Perez (back injury) remains uncertain.

Head-to-head history and match trends

In their last five encounters, Mallorca have a slight advantage with two wins, while Rayo Vallecano have won one match and the two teams have drawn twice. Notably, Rayo Vallecano won the first leg of this season's match 2-1 at home.

Tactical analysis and predictions

Based on statistics, Mallorca has a 45% chance of winning and a 45% chance of the match ending in a draw. Rayo Vallecano's chances of securing all three points away from home are only estimated at 10%. Given the importance of the relegation battle, the match is expected to be tight with few goals (under 2.5).

Predicted result:Mallorca win or draw.

Team lineup updated at 21:01 on 12/04/2026

Official lineup

Mallorca

Diagram: 4-4-2

CoachMartin Demichelis

Starting lineup:

• 1. Leo Román (G)
• 23. Pablo Maffeo (D)
• 27. David López (D)
• 5. Omar Mascarell (D)
• 22. Johan Mojica (D)
• 12. Samú Costa (M)
• 20. Pablo Torre (M)
• 10. Sergi Darder (M)
• 8. Manu Morlanes (M)
• 7. Vedat Muriqi (F)
• 15. Zito Luvumbo (F)

Substitutes:

• 9. Abdón Prats
• 4. Marash Kumarla
• 3. Toni Lato
• 30. Justin-Noel Kalumba
• 11. Takuma Asano
• 39. Jandro García
• 17. Jan Virgil
• 25. Ivan Cuellar
• 6. Antonio Sánchez
• 19. Javi Llabrés
• 2. Mateu Morey
• 34. Javier Olaizola

Rayo Vallecano

Diagram: 4-3-3

CoachInigo Perez

Starting lineup:

• 1. Dani Cárdenas (G)
• 2. Andrei Rațiu (D)
• 24. Florian Lejeune (D)
• 32. Nobel Mendy (D)
• 22. Alfonso Espino (D)
• 4. Pedro Díaz (M)
• 23. Óscar Valentín (M)
• 15. Gerard Gumbau (M)
• 12. Ilias Akhomach (F)
• 11. Randy Nteka (F)
• 18. Álvaro García (F)

Substitutes:

• 9. Alemão
• 20. Iván Balliu
• 13. Augusto Batalla
• 8. Oscar Trejo
• 7. Isi Palazón
• 17. Unai López
• 19. Jorge de Frutos
• 3. Joseph Chavarría
• 6. Pathé Ismaël Ciss
• 10. Sergio Camello
• 5. Luiz Felipe
• 14. Carlos Martín