Mallorca vs Valencia Prediction - La Liga: The home advantage of Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Mallorca and Valencia enter this direct confrontation separated by just one point, where Mallorca's home advantage clashes with Valencia's instability.
At 00:00 on April 22, 2026, the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix stadium will be the focal point of a crucial match that will decide the bottom half of the La Liga table between Mallorca and Valencia. With only a single point separating them, the result of this match could completely alter the relegation battle for both teams.
A fierce battle on the leaderboard.
Currently, Valencia is ranked 14th with 35 points after 31 rounds. Mallorca is right behind them in 15th place with 34 points. The recent form of the two teams shows a significant contrast. In their last 5 matches, Mallorca has shown signs of improvement with 3 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss. Conversely, Valencia has displayed inconsistency, suffering 3 defeats and only securing 2 wins in the same period.
Home advantage overcomes away game worries.
The key to this match lies in the home record of both teams. Mallorca is proving to be a strong fortress at home, with 8 of their 9 wins this season recorded at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. The team boasts a fairly stable defense at home, although their overall goal difference remains -9 (39 goals scored, 48 goals conceded).
On the other side of the battlefield, Valencia is facing a serious crisis when playing away from home. Of their 14 defeats this season, 10 were away losses. With a scoring efficiency of only 1.1 goals per game, Valencia's team is struggling to break through the opponent's defense in unfamiliar environments.
The history of their head-to-head encounters is balanced.
Looking at the history of their last five encounters, the balance is clearly demonstrated by the following statistics:
| Confrontation Day | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | Valencia vs Mallorca | 1 - 1 |
| 30/03/2025 | Valencia vs Mallorca | 1 - 0 |
| 30/11/2024 | Mallorca vs Valencia | 2 - 1 |
| 31/03/2024 | Valencia vs Mallorca | 0 - 0 |
| 07/10/2023 | Mallorca vs Valencia | 1 - 1 |
It's clear that both teams understand each other's playing style very well, as three of their last five encounters ended in a draw.
Personnel situation: Severe staffing crisis.
Both Mallorca and Valencia enter this match with lengthy injury lists, which will directly affect the quality of play and the ability of both coaches to rotate their squads.
Mallorca are absent:
- A. Raillo:Injury not yet determined.
- J. Salas and M. Joseph:He is sidelined due to a knee injury.
- L. Bergstrom and Z. Luvumbo:Absent due to various injury issues.
Valencia is absent:
- J. Agirrezabala and D. Foulquier:Knee injury.
- J. Copete:Ankle injury.
- M. Diakhaby:Muscle injury.
- Availability is uncertain:E. Comert (abdominal muscle strain), H. Duro and U. Nunez (muscle injury).
Analysis and prediction of results
With the significant advantage of playing at Son Moix, Mallorca is considered the favorite to earn points. The predicted odds for a home win and a draw are both at 45%, while Valencia's chances of winning are only 10%. Given the relatively weak attacking capabilities of both teams, the match is likely to have fewer than 2.5 goals per side.
Experts predict that the safest bet is for Mallorca to win or draw, making the most of their home advantage against a Valencia side weakened by injuries and poor away form.
Team lineup updated at 23:30 on April 21, 2026
Official lineup
Mallorca
Diagram: 4-2-3-1
CoachMartin Demichelis
Starting lineup:
- 1. Leo Román (G)
- 23. Pablo Maffeo (D)
- 5. Omar Mascarell (D)
- 24. Martin Valjent (D)
- 22. Johan Mojica (D)
- 8. Manu Morlanes (M)
- 10. Sergi Darder (M)
- 11. Takuma Asano (M)
- 20. Pablo Torre (M)
- 12. Samú Costa (M)
- 7. Vedat Muriqi (F)
Substitutes:
- 25. Iván Cuélar
- 4. Marash Kumarla
- 27. David Lopez
- 2. Mateu Morey
- 3. Toni Lato
- 17. Jan Virgil
- 28. Cesc Ribosa
- 39. Jandro García
- 30. Justin-Noel Kalumba
- 19. Javi Llabrés
- 6. Antonio Sánchez
- 9. Abdon
Tehran
Diagram: 4-4-2
CoachCarlos Corberan
Starting lineup:
- 1. Stole Dimitrievski (G)
- 12. Thierry Correia (D)
- 18. Pepelu (D)
- 5. César Tárrega (D)
- 14. Jose Gaya (D)
- 16. Diego López (M)
- 23. Filip Ugrinić (M)
- 2. Guido Rodríguez (M)
- 17. Largie Ramazani (M)
- 15. Lucas Beltrán (F)
- 6. Umar Sadiq (F)
Substitutes:
- 13. Cristian Rivero
- 21. Jesús Vázquez
- 26. Rubén Iranzo
- 20. Renzo Saravia
- 40. Joel Fontanet Paredes
- 10. André Almeida
- 8. Javier Guerra
- 29. Lucas Núñez
- 11. Luis Rioja
- 9. Hugo Duro
- 7. Arnaut Danjuma
- 19. Dani Raba
