Marseille vs Auxerre Prediction - Ligue 1

At 2:45 AM on March 14, 2026, Marseille will host Auxerre in the 26th round of Ligue 1. This is a crucial match for both teams, as Marseille needs points to secure a Champions League spot, while Auxerre is striving to escape the relegation zone at the bottom of the league table.

Position in the rankings and current context

Currently, Marseille is firmly in third place with 46 points after 25 rounds. Meanwhile, Auxerre is ranked 16th with only 19 points, only slightly above the relegation zone thanks to goal difference. The difference in skill and form between the two teams is very clear before kick-off.

Performance analysis: Strength at Orange Vélodrome

Marseille are maintaining an impressive attacking performance this season, averaging 2.1 goals per game. The team at the Orange Vélodrome has secured 8 home wins in 12 matches, proving to be a true fortress for any opponent. Although their form in the last 5 games has slowed down somewhat with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, their firepower with 52 goals scored since the start of the season remains their most formidable weapon.

In contrast, Auxerre is experiencing a turbulent season. The away team has only managed one win so far. Their limited scoring ability (an average of 0.8 goals per game) is the main reason they frequently suffer defeats. However, drawing 3 of their last 5 matches shows that Auxerre is striving to improve their defense to secure every point in the relegation battle.

History of confrontations and current team situation.

In their last five encounters, Marseille have held the advantage with three wins, while Auxerre have surprisingly defeated the port city team twice. Notably, in the first leg match in November 2025, Marseille secured a narrow 1-0 victory away from home.

List of absent players

• Marseille:N. Aguerd is absent due to a groin injury; B. Nadir's availability remains uncertain.
• Auxerre:N. Buayi-Kiala is absent due to a knee injury; L. Sinayoko is suspended after accumulating too many yellow cards. The availability of L. Coulibaly and O. El Azzouzi is uncertain.

Tactical analysis and predictions

With the home advantage and a higher-quality squad, Marseille is expected to take the initiative and impose their playing style from the start. The key will lie in their ability to break through the numerous defenders that Auxerre will undoubtedly set up. The absence of N. Aguerd may cause some problems for Marseille's defense, but with their in-form attack, they are still considered the clear favorites.

The match is predicted to be one-sided. Marseille has a 45% chance of winning and a 45% chance of a draw if Auxerre plays a strong defensive game. The likelihood of the away team causing an upset is only about 10%.

Predicted result:Marseille win or draw.

Team lineup updated at 02:15 on 14/03/2026

Official lineup

Marseille

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachHabib Beye

Starting lineup:

• 1. Gerónimo Rulli (G)
• 22. Timothy Weah (D)
• 28. Benjamin Pavard (D)
• 4. Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley (D)
• 32. Facundo Medina (D)
• 23. Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (M)
• 19. Geoffrey Kondogbia (M)
• 10. Mason Greenwood (M)
• 27. Quinten Timber (M)
• 14. Igor Paixão (M)
• 17. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (F)

Substitutes:

• 12. Jeffrey de Lange
• 33. Emerson Palmieri
• 8. Himad Abdelli
• 11. Ethan Nwaneri
• 20. Hamed Junior Traore
• 18. Arthur Vermeeren
• 6. Tochukwu Nnadi
• 9. Amine Gouri
• 78. Angela Lago

Auxerre

Diagram: 3-4-3

CoachChristophe Pelissier

Starting lineup:

• 16. Donovan Léon (G)
• 20. Sinaly Diomandé (D)
• 24. Bryan Okoh (D)
• 92. Clement Akpa (D)
• 27. Lamine Sy (M)
• 42. Elisha Owusu (M)
• 5. Kevin Danois (M)
• 22. Fredrik Oppegård (M)
• 7. Josué Casimir (F)
• 9. Sékou Mara (F)
• 19. Danny Namaso (F)

Substitutes:

• 40. Théo De Percin
• 14. Gideon Mensah
• 29. Marvin Senaya
• 4. Francisco Sierralta
• 18. Assane Dioussé
• 8. Naouirou Ahamada
• 28. Romain Faivre
• 31. Ryan Rodin
• 41. Yvan Zaddy