Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction - Premier League: A Challenge for Top 3 Ambitions

At 9:00 PM on January 25, 2026, St. James' Park will witness a highly anticipated clash between Newcastle and Aston Villa. While the visitors are flying high in the title race, the home team boasts incredible consistency whenever they play at their home ground.

Current position in the Premier League table

This match is extremely important for both clubs' goals. Aston Villa are one of the strong contenders for a Champions League spot, while Newcastle are striving to close the gap with the European qualification places.

Analyzing team form and strength

Newcastle: Fortress St. James' Park

Despite being 9th in the league table, Newcastle remains a formidable opponent when playing at home. Of their 9 wins this season, 7 have come at St. James' Park. Their average of 1.5 goals per game demonstrates that the manager's attack has maintained its necessary sharpness.

Aston Villa: The mettle of a top 3 contender.

The visiting team currently holds a convincing third place with 43 points. However, their away form is somewhat less impressive than at Villa Park. With only 5 wins in 11 away matches, Unai Emery and his players will have to put in a tremendous effort if they want to overcome a Newcastle side that always plays with 200% effort at home.

The head-to-head history favors the home team.

Statistics from the last five head-to-head matches show Newcastle's dominance, especially when playing at St. James' Park:

• 12/08/2023:Newcastle 5 - 1 Aston Villa
• 31/01/2024:Aston Villa 1 - 3 Newcastle
• 26/12/2024:Newcastle 3 - 0 Aston Villa
• 19/04/2025:Aston Villa 4 - 1 Newcastle
• 16/08/2025:Aston Villa 0 - 0 Newcastle

Thus, in their last two home games against this opponent, Newcastle scored a total of 8 goals and conceded only 1.

Team situation: A major injury problem.

Both teams are suffering significant personnel losses, which could directly impact the quality of the match.

Newcastle's absentee list

• E. Krafth, J. Murphy, V. Livramento:Absent due to knee and hamstring injuries.
• F. Schar:Absent due to injury.
• Bruno Guimaraes, D. Burn, W. Osula:His availability for the match is still uncertain due to ankle and chest problems.

Aston Villa's absentee list

• R. Barkley, B. Kamara, J. McGinn:Absent due to a knee injury.
• Alysson:Absent due to injury.
• E. Martinez:The number one goalkeeper is likely to be absent due to a calf injury.

Predicting tactics and results

With home advantage and a favorable head-to-head record, Newcastle are expected to play an attacking game from the start. However, Aston Villa, with their superior squad, are still capable of punishing any mistakes made by their opponents. Predictions suggest that Newcastle have a very high chance of winning or drawing (up to 90%).

Predict the score of the goals.

• Newcastle: Under 2.5 goals
• Aston Villa: Under 2.5 goals

Team lineup updated at 20:23 on 25/01/2026

Official lineup

Newcastle

Diagram: 4-3-3

CoachEddie Howe

Starting lineup:

• 1. Nick Pope (G)
• 2. Kieran Trippier (D)
• 12. Malick Thiaw (D)
• 4. Sven Botman (D)
• 3. Lewis Hall (D)
• 67. Lewis Miley (M)
• 8. Sandro Tonali (M)
• 7. Joelinton (M)
• 11. Harvey Barnes (F)
• 9. Yoane Wissa (F)
• 10. Anthony Gordon (F)

Substitutes:

• 32. Aaron Ramsdale
• 33. Dan Burn
• 37. Alex Murphy
• 61. Leo Shahar
• 20. Anthony Elanga
• 28. Joe Willock
• 41. Jacob Ramsey
• 18. William Osula
• 27. Nick Woltemade

Aston Villa

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachUnai Emery

Starting lineup:

• 23. Emiliano Martínez (G)
• 2. Matty Cash (D)
• 4. Ezri Konsa (D)
• 14. Pau Torres (D)
• 22. Ian Maatsen (D)
• 24. Amadou Onana (M)
• 8. Youri Tielemans (M)
• 19. Jadon Sancho (M)
• 27. Morgan Rogers (M)
• 10. Emiliano Buendía (M)
• 11. Ollie Watkins (F)

Substitutes:

• 40. Marco Bizot
• 3. Victor Lindelöf
• 12. Lucas Digne
• 5. Tyrone Mings
• 26. Lamare Bogarde
• 53. George Hemmings
• 31. Leon Bailey
• 9. Harvey Elliott
• 29. Evann Guessand