Newcastle vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction - UEFA Champions League

Newcastle United will host PSV Eindhoven at St. James' Park at 3:00 AM on January 22, 2026. This match is crucial for both clubs as they are fiercely competing for a place in the knockout stages of this season's UEFA Champions League.

Context and ranking position

Currently, Newcastle are 13th in the league table with 10 points after 6 matches played. The North East team have maintained relatively stable form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Notably, their home ground, St. James' Park, remains a strong point, as they have secured 2 victories there.

Meanwhile, PSV Eindhoven is currently ranked 21st with 8 points. The Dutch representative has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses after 6 rounds. With only a 2-point gap separating them from their opponent, PSV must get points in this away match if they don't want to fall behind in the race for a place in the knockout round.

Analysis of form and goal-scoring performance

Newcastle boasts a fairly effective attack, averaging 2.2 goals per game (scoring a total of 13 goals). Their defense is also quite disciplined, conceding an average of only 1.0 goal per game. In their last 5 matches, Newcastle have won 3, showing an improvement in their performance.

Conversely, PSV Eindhoven boasts a more explosive attack with 15 goals in 6 matches (an average of 2.5 goals per game). However, their biggest weakness lies in their defense, having conceded 11 goals (an average of 1.8 goals per game). This imbalance between attack and defense could be a vulnerability that Newcastle can exploit.

Team situation: A headache for two coaches.

Both teams entered this match with lengthy absence lists, directly impacting their squad strength.

Newcastle's absentee list

• D. Burn:Chest injury.
• E. Krafth, F. Schar:Knee injury.
• J. Lascelles, V. Livramento, J. Murphy:Muscle injury.
• W. Osula:Ankle injury (availability is uncertain).
• M. Gillespie, J. Ruddy:Not participating in the competition.

PSV Eindhoven's absentee list

• R. Pepi:Fractured hand.
• A. Plea, R. van Bommel:Knee injury.
• M. Boadu:Muscle injury.
• S. Dest:Absent due to a serious collision.
• I. Saibari:Suspended due to accumulating too many yellow cards.
• N. Olij:Injury to the groin area.

Tactical analysis and predictions

Newcastle are considered the favorites due to their home advantage and defensive solidity. The predicted odds of a home win are 45%, while a draw also has a 45% chance. The visiting team, PSV, only have a 10% chance of winning.

With both teams missing key players, the match could be more cautious than expected. It's likely that the total number of goals from each team will not exceed 2.5. The safe bet for this match is a Newcastle win or a draw (double chance).

Team lineup updated at 02:23 on 22/01/2026

Official lineup

Newcastle

Diagram: 4-3-3

CoachEddie Howe

Starting lineup:

• 1. Nick Pope (G)
• 2. Kieran Trippier (D)
• 12. Malick Thiaw (D)
• 4. Sven Botman (D)
• 3. Lewis Hall (D)
• 39. Bruno Guimarães (M)
• 8. Sandro Tonali (M)
• 7. Joelinton (M)
• 11. Harvey Barnes (F)
• 9. Yoane Wissa (F)
• 10. Anthony Gordon (F)

Substitutes:

• 31. Max Thompson
• 32. Aaron Ramsdale
• 37. Alex Murphy
• 61. Leo Shahar
• 20. Anthony Elanga
• 28. Joe Willock
• 41. Jacob Ramsey
• 67. Lewis Miley
• 27. Nick Woltemade
• 62. Sean Neave

PSV Eindhoven

Diagram: 4-3-3

CoachPeter Bosz

Starting lineup:

• 32. Matěj Kovář (G)
• 25. Kiliann Sildillia (D)
• 22. Jerdy Schouten (D)
• 3. Yarek Gasiorowski (D)
• 2. Anass Salah-Eddine (D)
• 10. Paul Wanner (M)
• 17. Mauro Júnior (M)
• 23. Joey Veerman (M)
• 27. Dennis Man (F)
• 20. Guus Til (F)
• 5. Ivan Perišić (F)

Substitutes:

• 24. Niek Schiks
• 51. Tijn Smolenaars
• 4. Armando Obispo
• 6. Ryan Flamingo
• 35. Joel Van Den Berg
• 31. Noah Fernandez
• 50. Nicolas Verkooijen
• 11. Couhaib Driouech
• 19. Esmir Bajraktarević