Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Prediction - A Challenge at El Sadar Fortress

The next round of La Liga will see a highly anticipated clash between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid at the Estadio El Sadar at 2:30 AM on May 13, 2026. This is a crucial point in the season, as Atletico Madrid are determined to secure their Champions League qualification, while Osasuna are looking to improve their position in the middle of the table.

Current league position and form

Currently, Atletico Madrid is ranked 4th with 63 points after 35 matches played. However, the recent form of coach Diego Simeone's team is showing signs of instability, as they have only won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches. Dropping points in the final rounds could threaten the Madrid team's goal of finishing in the top 4.

On the other side of the pitch, Osasuna are currently in 11th place with 42 points. The team playing at El Sadar Stadium haven't been in their best form either, with only one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches. However, Osasuna remain a formidable opponent when playing at home.

Home advantage versus away prowess

A noteworthy detail is the contrast in the two teams' performance. Osasuna has made excellent use of their home advantage, with 9 out of their 11 wins this season coming at Estadio El Sadar. Conversely, Atletico Madrid is showing weakness when playing away from their Metropolitano stadium. Of their 19 wins this season, only 5 were away victories, while they suffered 7 defeats.

History of confrontations

In their last five encounters, Atletico Madrid have held a slight advantage with three wins, while Osasuna have defeated them twice. Notably, matches between the two teams often end with close scores, reflecting the dramatic and pragmatic style of play from both sides.

• October 19, 2025: Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Osasuna
• May 16, 2025: Osasuna 2 - 0 Atletico Madrid
• January 12, 2025: Atletico Madrid 1 - 0 Osasuna
• May 20, 2024: Atletico Madrid 1 - 4 Osasuna
• September 29, 2023: Osasuna 0 - 2 Atletico Madrid

Severe manpower crisis

Both managers are facing personnel headaches. Osasuna will be without their key goalkeeper S. Herrera due to a red card and V. Munoz due to a muscle injury. This is a major blow to the home team's defense, which has already conceded an average of 1.3 goals per game.

However, Atletico Madrid's situation is far more dire. Their injury list is extensive, with eight key players missing, including Julian Alvarez (ankle injury), Axel Baena (suspended), and a host of other mainstays such as Pablo Barrios, Jose Maria Gimenez, and Nahuel Molina suffering from various muscle and injury problems. The absence of so many key players will force coach Simeone to make makeshift tactical adjustments.

Predicting tactics and results

With home advantage and Atletico missing so many key players, Osasuna is perfectly capable of causing an upset. However, Atletico Madrid, with the composure of a big team and their characteristic pragmatic style of play, are still considered the favorites to earn points. The match is predicted to be tight with few goals scored (under 2.5 goals).

Forecast:Atletico Madrid win or draw.