Osasuna vs Mallorca Prediction - La Liga Round 27

Thanh VinhMarch 7, 2026 09:06

Osasuna have a great opportunity to consolidate their position in the top half of the table when they host a Mallorca team mired in crisis at the formidable El Sadar stadium.

At 8:00 PM on March 7th, 2026, the match between Osasuna and Mallorca in the 27th round of La Liga will take place at the Estadio El Sadar. This is a clash with completely contrasting psychological factors, as the home team is maintaining stability, while the visiting team is struggling in a fierce relegation battle.

8:00 PM on March 7th - Round 27 of La Liga

Current league standings and form

Currently, Osasuna occupies a relatively safe position in the middle of the table (10th place) with 33 points. In stark contrast, Mallorca is languishing in the relegation zone at 18th place with only 24 points. The 9-point gap clearly reflects the difference in performance between the two teams since the start of the season.

Team Location Point Form in the last 5 matches
Osasuna 10 33 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss
Mallorca 18 24 Win 1, Loss 4

Osasuna: The El Sadar stronghold

The home team has played 26 matches this season with a record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses. Notably, Osasuna's prowess is most evident at their home ground, El Sadar, where they have secured 7 out of their 9 wins since the start of the season. With an average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game, Osasuna's team demonstrates a pragmatic yet highly effective style of play against weaker opponents.

Mallorca: Concerns arising from the away trips

Mallorca is going through an extremely difficult period with 14 losses in 26 league matches. The team's fatal weakness lies in their away performance. Of those 14 defeats, 10 were losses away from home. Mallorca's defense is one of the weakest in the league, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game, while their attack has only managed 29 goals.

History of confrontations: A strange balance

Despite the significant difference in current standings, the history of encounters between the two teams shows drama and balance. In the last five meetings, each team has secured one victory, with three matches ending in a draw. Notably, the first leg in November 2025 ended in a thrilling 2-2 draw at Mallorca's home ground.

  • November 29, 2025: Mallorca 2 - 2 Osasuna
  • February 11, 2025: Mallorca 1 - 1 Osasuna
  • August 24, 2024: Osasuna 1 - 0 Mallorca
  • May 15, 2024: Osasuna 1 - 1 Mallorca
  • December 22, 2023: Mallorca 3 - 2 Osasuna

Team situation and tactical predictions

In terms of personnel, Osasuna were only missing I. Benito due to a knee injury. This allowed them to easily deploy their optimal formation and impose their playing style from the start.

Conversely, Mallorca is facing a serious squad crisis with as many as four key players absent. Specifically, T. Asano, M. Kumbulla, and J. Llabres are all unavailable due to muscle injuries, while J. Salas is sidelined with a knee problem. The loss of so many options in both defense and attack will present a difficult challenge for the visiting team's coaching staff.

Forecast:With home advantage and a superior squad, Osasuna is given a 45% chance of winning. The probability of a draw is also 45%, while Mallorca's chances of causing an upset are only 10%. Overall, the most likely scenario is a draw or a win for the home team.

Team lineup updated at 19:30 on 07/03/2026

Official lineup

Osasuna

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachAlessio Lisci

Starting lineup:

  • 1. Sergio Herrera (G)
  • 19. Valentin Rosier (D)
  • 24. Alejandro Catena (D)
  • 5. Jorge Herrando (D)
  • 20. Javi Galán (D)
  • 7. Jon Moncayola (M)
  • 6. Lucas Torró (M)
  • 14. Ruben García (M)
  • 10. Aimar Oroz (M)
  • 21. Victor Muñoz (M)
  • 17. Ante Budimir (F)

Substitutes:

  • 13. Aitor Fernández
  • 41. Iñigo Arguibide
  • 23. Abel Bretones
  • 22. Flavien Boyomo
  • 3. Juan Cruz
  • 18. Raúl Moro
  • 16. Moi Gómez
  • 8. Iker Muñoz
  • 29. Asier Osambela
  • 9. Raúl García de Haro
  • 11. Kike Barja

Mallorca

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachMartin Demichelis

Starting lineup:

  • 1. Leo Román (G)
  • 23. Pablo Maffeo (D)
  • 24. Martin Valjent (D)
  • 21. Antonio Raílo (D)
  • 22. Johan Mojica (D)
  • 12. Samú Costa (M)
  • 5. Omar Mascarell (M)
  • 18. Mateo Joseph (M)
  • 20. Pablo Torre (M)
  • 8. Manu Morlanes (M)
  • 7. Vedat Muriqi (F)

Substitutes:

  • 25. Iván Cuélar
  • 13. Lucas Bergström
  • 34. Javier Olaizola
  • 3. Toni Lato
  • 27. David Lopez
  • 2. Mateu Morey
  • 6. Antonio Sánchez
  • 30. Justin-Noel Kalumba
  • 10. Sergi Darder
  • 17. Jan Virgil
  • 9. Abdón Prats
  • 15. Zito Luvumbo
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