Parma vs Cagliari Prediction - Serie A: An attempt to break through at Ennio Tardini
The early Serie A match saw a direct confrontation between two rivals neck and neck in the standings, with Cagliari holding a historical advantage in head-to-head encounters.
02:45 on February 28th - Serie A Round
The clash between Parma and Cagliari at the Stadio Ennio Tardini is crucial for both teams in their efforts to consolidate their positions in the middle of the Serie A table. With only a three-point difference, the outcome of this encounter could directly alter their rankings as the season enters its crucial final stages.
Current league position and form
Currently, Parma is in 12th place with 32 points. Meanwhile, Cagliari is close behind in 13th place with 29 points. A win for the away team would help them equalize the points with their opponent.
| Team | Location | Point | Form in the last 5 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 12 | 32 | Win 3 matches, lose 2 matches |
| Cagliari | 13 | 29 | One draw, two losses, two wins. |
Analysis of the home team, Parma
The team playing at the Ennio Tardini stadium is experiencing a rather modest season in terms of goal-scoring performance. After 26 matches, Parma has only scored 19 goals (an average of 0.7 goals per game) but conceded 31. Notably, their home form is not very impressive, having lost 6 matches there. The lack of effective attacking options is a major headache for the coaching staff.
Analysis of the visiting team Cagliari
In contrast to the home team, Cagliari boasts a sharper attack with 28 goals in 26 league matches (an average of 1.1 goals per game). However, their weakness lies in their defense, having conceded 35 goals. Cagliari's away form is similar to Parma's home record, with 3 wins and 6 losses in their away games this season.
Head-to-head history: A strong advantage for the away team.
Historical data strongly favors Cagliari. In their last five encounters, Cagliari are unbeaten, winning four and drawing one. Notably, in the first leg in September 2025, Cagliari secured a convincing 2-0 victory. Their confident mentality when facing Parma will be a crucial asset for the visitors in this away match.
- September 13, 2025: Cagliari 2 - 0 Parma
- February 9, 2025: Cagliari 2 - 1 Parma
- October 1, 2024: Parma 2 - 3 Cagliari
- June 4, 2023: Parma 0 - 0 Cagliari
- May 31, 2023: Cagliari 3 - 2 Parma
The team is depleted.
Both teams entered this match with lengthy injury lists, significantly impacting the coaches' personnel choices.
Parma:We are without P. Almqvist (thigh injury), M. Frigan (knee injury), and goalkeeper Z. Suzuki (finger injury). A. Ndiaye's participation remains uncertain due to a groin problem.
Cagliari:The list of absentees is even longer, with A. Belotti, G. Borrelli, and M. Felici all suffering serious knee and thigh injuries. In addition, players like A. Deiola, G. Gaetano, and L. Mazzitelli are also unavailable. Most notably, center-back Y. Mina is absent due to a suspension following a red card.
Tactical analysis and prediction
Based on form and head-to-head history, the match is predicted to be very evenly matched. Although Parma has the home advantage, Cagliari has a good track record against this opponent. With a 45% probability of a draw or an away win, a draw or a narrow victory for Cagliari is the most likely scenario.
Neither team's attack is particularly explosive, especially Parma's, so the match is unlikely to see many goals. A safe bet for this encounter would be a draw or a minimal victory for the visiting team, Cagliari.
Team lineup updated at 02:15 on 28/02/2026
Official lineup
Parma
Diagram: 3-5-2
CoachCarlos Cuesta
Starting lineup:
- 40. Edoardo Corvi (G)
- 15. Enrico Del Prato (D)
- 37. Mariano Troilo (D)
- 5. Lautaro Valentini (D)
- 27. Sascha Britschgi (M)
- 10. Adrián Bernabé (M)
- 16. Mandela Keita (M)
- 24. Christian Ordoñez (M)
- 14. Emanuele Valeri (M)
- 9. Mateo Pellegrino (F)
- 7. Gabriel Strefezza (F)
Substitutes:
- 31. Zion Suzuki
- 66. Filippo Rinaldi
- 63. Marlon Mena
- 39. Alessandro Circati
- 25. Benjamin Cremaschi
- 22. Oliver Sørensen
- 8. Nahuel Estévez
- 17. Jacob Ondrejka
- 29. Franco Carboni
- 41. Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
- 23. Nesta Elphege
- 21. Gaetano Oristanio
Cagliari
Diagram: 3-5-2
CoachFabio Pisacane
Starting lineup:
- 1. Elia Caprile (G)
- 32. Zé Pedro (D)
- 22. Alberto Dossena (D)
- 15. Juan Rodríguez (D)
- 2. Marco Palestra (M)
- 8. Michel Adopo (M)
- 27. Joseph Liteta (M)
- 25. Ibrahim Sulemana (M)
- 33. Adam Obert (M)
- 9. Semih Kılıçsoy (F)
- 94. Sebastiano Esposito (F)
Substitutes:
- 12. Alen Sherri
- 24. Giuseppe Ciocci
- 28. Gabriele Zappa
- 18. Othniël Raterink
- 3. Riyad Idrissi
- 90. Michael Folorunsho
- 40. Roberto Malfitano
- 38. Ivan Sulev
- 20. Agustín Albarracín
- 31. Paul Mendy
- 37. Yael Trepy
- 30. Leonardo Pavoletti
