Parma vs Pisa prediction - Serie A Round 34
Parma have a chance to consolidate their safe position when they host bottom-placed Pisa, a club mired in crisis with 19 defeats since the start of the season.
The clash at Stadio Ennio Tardini at 8:00 PM on April 25, 2026, is crucial for visiting team Pisa, while home team Parma is seeking stability to finish the season in a safer position. With a 21-point lead in the standings, Parma is considered superior in every aspect to a bottom-placed Pisa.
Contrasting positions in the rankings
| Team | Location | Point | Form in the last 5 matches |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 14 | 39 | 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses |
| Pisa | 20 | 18 | 1 win, 4 losses |
Parma currently sits 14th with 39 points after 33 matches. The home team has maintained a safe distance from the relegation zone thanks to their disciplined play, although their attack hasn't been explosive, averaging only 0.7 goals per game. Conversely, Pisa is experiencing a disastrous season, sitting at the bottom of the table with just 18 points and conceding 60 goals (an average of 1.8 goals per game).
Analysis of form and head-to-head history
Parma have shown relative consistency at their home stadium, Stadio Ennio Tardini. This season, they have had 3 wins and 6 draws at home. Although their form in the last 5 matches has slowed down somewhat with only 1 win, Parma's defense has maintained the necessary focus, conceding an average of only 1.2 goals per game.
On Pisa's side, the crisis shows no signs of abating. The visitors have yet to win an away game this season (8 draws, 8 losses). Their fatal weakness lies in their leaky defense, frequently making mistakes in aerial situations and counter-attacks.
Recent head-to-head record
History is entirely on the home team's side. In the last five encounters, Parma has had a clear advantage:
- Win 3 matches
- Draw 1 match
- Lost 1 match
Notably, in the first leg in December 2025, Parma secured a narrow 1-0 victory away at Pisa.
Team situation and tactical predictions
Both teams are facing personnel losses due to injuries. This will directly affect the tactical formations for the upcoming match.
Absent list
- Parma:M. Frigan is absent due to a knee injury; B. Cremaschi's participation is uncertain.
- Pisa:D. Denoon has an ankle problem; M. Leris and M. Marin are injured; S. Iling Junior and Lorran are not registered to play according to the coaching staff's decision.
With their current squad, Parma are likely to take control of the game and exploit weaknesses in Pisa's defense. Conversely, Pisa will be forced to play deep defensively and wait for opportunities from set pieces to cling to their slim hopes of avoiding relegation.
Assessing the results
Based on current statistics and strengths, Parma's chances of winning are estimated at 45%, while the probability of a draw is also similar. Pisa only has a 10% chance of causing an upset away from home. The match is predicted to be low-scoring, as both teams have a relatively low scoring rate (0.7 goals per game).
Forecast:Parma wins or draws.
Team lineup updated at 19:30 on April 25, 2026
Official lineup
Parma
Diagram: 3-5-2
CoachCarlos Cuesta
Starting lineup:
- 31. Zion Suzuki (G)
- 39. Alessandro Circati (D)
- 37. Mariano Troilo (D)
- 3. Abdoulaye Ndiaye (D)
- 15. Enrico Delprato (M)
- 10. Adrián Bernabé (M)
- 41. Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (M)
- 16. Mandela Keita (M)
- 14. Emanuele Valeri (M)
- 7. Gabriel Strefezza (F)
- 9. Mateo Pellegrino (F)
Substitutes:
- 40. Edoardo Corvi
- 66. Filippo Rinaldi
- 5. Lautaro Valentini
- 27. Sascha Britschgi
- 24. Christian Ordoñez
- 22. Oliver Sørensen
- 29. Franco Carboni
- 8. Nahuel Estévez
- 11. Pontus Almqvist
- 17. Jacob Ondrejka
- 21. Gaetano Oristanio
- 23. Nesta Elphege
Pisa
Diagram: 3-5-2
CoachOscar Hiljemark
Starting lineup:
- 1. Adrian Šemper (G)
- 2. Rosen Bozhinov (D)
- 4. Antonio Caracciolo (D)
- 5. Simone Canestrelli (D)
- 3. Samuele Angori (M)
- 14. Ebenezer Akinsanmiro (M)
- 20. Michel Aebischer (M)
- 21. Isak Vural (M)
- 7. Mehdi Léris (M)
- 81. Filip Stojilković (F)
- 32. Stefano Moreo (F)
Substitutes:
- 12. Nicolas
- 22. Simone Scuffet
- 39. Raúl Albiol
- 26. Francesco Coppola
- 33. Arturo Calabresi
- 11. Juan Cuadrado
- 8. Malthe Højholt
- 23. Calvin Stein
- 36. Gabriele Piccinini
- 99. Lorran
- 15. Idrissa Touré
- 35. Felipe Loyola
- 9. Henrik Wendel Meister
- 19. Samuel Iling Junior


