Rayo Vallecano vs Levante Prediction - Opportunity for a breakthrough at Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano holds a huge advantage over a Levante side facing a severe personnel crisis in this crucial match in La Liga's 28th round.
The match between Rayo Vallecano and Levante at 03:00 on March 17, 2026, at the Campo de Futbol de Vallecas stadium is crucial in the relegation battle. While the home team is maintaining the necessary stability, Levante is mired in crisis with a long list of injured players.
The two teams' positions in the standings.
After 27 rounds, Rayo Vallecano currently sits in 15th place with 31 points. The home team is enjoying impressive form in their last 5 matches, with 2 wins and 3 draws. Conversely, Levante is in 19th place with only 22 points. The away team is going through a terrible period, having lost 15 matches since the start of the season.
| Team | Location | Point | Form (last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 31 | 2 wins, 3 draws |
| Levante | 19 | 22 | Win 1, draw 1, lose 3 |
Power from the sacred land of Vallecas
One of Rayo Vallecano's biggest strengths is their home ground, Campo de Futbol de Vallecas. This season, they have only conceded 33 goals and suffered only 2 defeats when playing there. With a consistent scoring rate (an average of 1.0 goal per game), Rayo Vallecano always knows how to punish opponents' mistakes, especially against teams with weak defenses.
Levante's severe personnel crisis.
Levante entered this match with a severely depleted squad. Their list of absentees included C. Alvarez, R. Brugue, Dela, U. Elgezabal, and P. Martinez due to injury. In addition, JA Olasagasti was absent due to a red card, leaving the visitors without a crucial pillar of their defense. Levante's defense, which has conceded 45 goals (an average of 1.7 goals per game), was expected to have an extremely difficult day at work.
Head-to-head history and tactical analysis
The head-to-head history of the last 5 matches shows a balance, with each team winning 2 matches and drawing 1. However, in their most recent encounter in October 2025, Rayo Vallecano secured a convincing 3-0 victory away at Levante. This gives the home team a significant boost in confidence.
In terms of personnel, Rayo Vallecano is only missing D. Mendez. With the advantage in numbers and morale, the home team is expected to take the initiative and press from the start. Experts estimate Rayo Vallecano's chances of winning or drawing at 90%, while Levante's chances of winning are only 10%.
Predict the result
Based on their current form and squad situation, Rayo Vallecano is expected to make good use of their home advantage to secure all three points or at least a draw in order to consolidate their position in the standings.
Team lineup updated at 02:30 on 17/03/2026
Official lineup
Rayo Vallecano
Diagram: 4-3-3
CoachInigo Perez
Starting lineup:
- 13. Augusto Batalla (G)
- 20. Iván Ballius (D)
- 24. Florian Lejeune (D)
- 32. Nobel Mendy (D)
- 22. Alfonso Espino (D)
- 15. Gerard Gumbau (M)
- 23. Óscar Valentín (M)
- 4. Pedro Díaz (M)
- 19. Jorge de Frutos (F)
- 9. Alemão (F)
- 21. Fran Pérez (F)
Substitutes:
- 1. Dani Cárdenas
- 2. Andrei Rațiu
- 5. Luiz Felipe
- 3. Joseph Chavarría
- 17. Unai López
- 12. Ilias Akhomach
- 6. Pathé Ismaël Ciss
- 7. Isi Palazón
- 18. Álvaro García
- 8. Óscar Trejo
- 10. Sergio Camello
- 14. Carlos Martín
Levante
Diagram: 4-2-3-1
CoachLuis Castro
Starting lineup:
- 13. Mathew Ryan (G)
- 22. Jeremy Toljan (D)
- 2. Matias Moreno (D)
- 3. Alan Matturro (D)
- 23. Manuel Sánchez (D)
- 20. Oriol Rey (M)
- 18. Iker Losada (M)
- 17. Víctor García (M)
- 9. Iván Romero (M)
- 26. Kareem Tunde (M)
- 19. Carlos Espí (F)
Substitutes:
- 1. Pablo Cuñat
- 32. Alejandro Primo
- 29. Nacho Pérez
- 6. Diego Pampín
- 55. Tai Abed
- 12. Unai Vendor
- 14. Ugo Raghouber
- 16. Kervin Arriaga
- 11. José Luis Morales
- 21. Etta Eyong
- 27. Paco Cortés
