RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction - Bundesliga: Opportunity to chase the top 4

RB Leipzig will host VfL Wolfsburg at 11:30 PM on February 15, 2026, in the German Bundesliga. The match will take place at the Red Bull Arena, where the home team holds a significant advantage over an opponent struggling at the bottom of the league table.

Current league position and form

Currently, RB Leipzig sits in 6th place with 39 points after 21 matches. The Red Bull team is maintaining hope of breaking into the top 4 to secure a Champions League spot next season. In stark contrast, VfL Wolfsburg is having a difficult season, sitting in 15th place with only 19 points, just above the relegation zone.

RB Leipzig have shown impressive strength at home with 7 wins out of 12 matches since the start of the season. Their scoring efficiency averages 1.9 goals per game. Meanwhile, Wolfsburg possess a weak defense, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game, making them one of the most vulnerable teams in the league.

The head-to-head history favors Leipzig.

In their last five encounters, RB Leipzig have held a clear advantage with four wins. Notably, these narrow victories highlight the dramatic nature of their matches. Leipzig's only recent defeat against this opponent was a heavy 1-5 loss at the end of 2024.

• September 27, 2025: VfL Wolfsburg 0 - 1 RB Leipzig
• April 12, 2025: VfL Wolfsburg 2 - 3 RB Leipzig
• February 27, 2025: RB Leipzig 1 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg
• November 30, 2024: RB Leipzig 1 - 5 VfL Wolfsburg
• April 13, 2024: RB Leipzig 3 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg

Severe manpower crisis

Both teams enter this match with a fairly long list of injured players, especially the visitors. RB Leipzig will be without V. Gebel, A. Ouedraogo, S. Sani, and A. Thomas due to knee, ankle, and muscle injuries. In addition, D. Raum will be absent due to suspension after accumulating too many yellow cards.

On the VfL Wolfsburg side, the situation is even worse with several key players such as J. Wind, J. Maehle, and B. Dardai absent due to various injuries. The absence of star striker J. Wind (thigh injury) is a huge blow to the "Wolves'" attack. In addition, the availability of P. Wimmer, J. Lindstrom, and K. Paredes remains uncertain due to health and muscle issues.

Predicting tactics and results

With the home advantage and superior squad quality, RB Leipzig is predicted to take control of the game from the start. Their goal is to exploit Wolfsburg's unstable defense, which has conceded 44 goals this season. With a predicted 90% chance of the home team not losing (including 45% win and 45% draw), it will be difficult for Wolfsburg to pull off an upset at Red Bull Arena.

Predicted result:RB Leipzig win or draw.

Team lineup updated at 23:00 on February 15, 2026

Official lineup

RB Leipzig

Diagram: 4-3-3

CoachOle Werner

Starting lineup:

• 1. Peter Gulácsi (G)
• 39. Benjamin Henrichs (D)
• 4. Willi Orbán (D)
• 13. Nicolas Seiwald (D)
• 35. Max Finkgräfe (D)
• 10. Brajan Gruda (M)
• 24. Xaver Schlager (M)
• 14. Christoph Baumgartner (M)
• 49. Yan Diomande (F)
• 11. Conrad Harder (F)
• 7. Antonio Nusa (F)

Substitutes:

• 26. Maarten Vandevodordt
• 5. El Chadaille Bitshiabu
• 23. Castello Lukeba
• 27. Tidiam Gomis
• 17. Ridel Baku
• 33. Andrija Maksimović
• 6. Ezechiel Banzuzi
• 9. Johan Bakayoko
• 40. Romulo

VfL Wolfsburg

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachDaniel Bauer

Starting lineup:

• 1. Kamil Grabara (G)
• 26. Saël Kumbedi (D)
• 3. Denis Vavro (D)
• 15. Moritz Jenz (D)
• 6. Jeanuël Belocian (D)
• 24. Christian Eriksen (M)
• 27. Maximilian Arnold (M)
• 11. Adam Daghim (M)
• 10. Lovero Majer (M)
• 9. Mohamed Amoura (M)
• 7. Kento Shiogai (F)

Substitutes:

• 29. Marius Müller
• 18. Jonas Adjei Adjeley
• 41. Jan Burger
• 4. Konstantinos Koulierakis
• 37. Pharell Hensel
• 31. Yannick Gerhardt
• 5. Vinícius Souza
• 32. Mattias Svanberg
• 17. Dženan Pejčinović