Real Madrid vs Girona Prediction - La Liga
Real Madrid have a great opportunity to consolidate their second-place position and chase the top spot when they host Girona, a team currently mired in personnel problems, at the Bernabéu stadium at 2:00 AM on April 11, 2026.
02:00 AM, April 11, 2026 - La Liga Round
The match between Real Madrid and Girona at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu takes place against the backdrop of the Spanish royal club maintaining impressive strength in the domestic league. With the goal of closing the gap with the top of the table, Real Madrid is predicted to have little difficulty against an opponent currently sitting in the lower half and suffering significant personnel losses.
Current league position and form
Real Madrid currently sit second in the La Liga table with 69 points after 30 matches. Notably, their home record is extremely impressive, with 13 wins and only 2 losses at the Bernabéu this season, leaving no opponent with a single point.
| Team | Location | Point | form |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 2 | 69 | Win 3, Loss 2 |
| Girr | 12 | 37 | 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses |
Conversely, Girona is currently ranked 12th with 37 points. Their away form is inconsistent, having won only 3 out of their last 15 away matches. With a negative goal difference (-12), Girona's defense will face a formidable challenge against Real Madrid's attack, which has already scored 64 goals.
Head-to-head history: The dominance of the royal team.
In their last five encounters, Real Madrid have shown complete dominance with four wins and only one draw. Notably, in their last two home matches against Girona, Real Madrid scored six goals and conceded none.
- December 1, 2025: Girona 1 - 1 Real Madrid
- February 23, 2025: Real Madrid 2 - 0 Girona
- December 8, 2024: Girona 0 - 3 Real Madrid
- February 11, 2024: Real Madrid 4 - 0 Girona
- September 30, 2023: Girona 0 - 3 Real Madrid
Statistics show that Real Madrid often dominate the game early and score many goals against Girona, creating a great deal of confidence for the home players before this rematch.
Team news: Crisis at Girona
Both teams entered this match with personnel shortages, however the impact on the visiting team was far more severe.
Real Madrid
The home team will be without key goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois due to a thigh injury and striker Rodrygo due to a knee injury. In addition, F. Mastantuono will also be absent due to accumulating too many yellow cards. However, with the depth of their squad, the Real Madrid coach still has many quality replacement options.
Girr
Girona's injury list is growing with several key players. The visitors will be without goalkeeper M. ter Stegen (hamstring injury), D. van de Beek (Achilles tendon injury), and other key players such as Portu, Juan Carlos, and V. Vanat. Veteran defender Daley Blind's availability remains uncertain, putting Girona's defense in a critical situation.
Tactical analysis and prediction
With a predicted win rate of 45% (equal to the draw rate but far exceeding the away win rate of 10%), Real Madrid is expected to completely dominate the match. Their diverse attacking style, averaging 2.1 goals per game, is a powerful weapon for the Bernabéu side to penetrate the opponent's defense, which has conceded 44 goals.
Girona will likely opt for a deep defensive approach in an attempt to secure a draw; however, the absence of so many key players across all three lines makes this goal extremely difficult. The prediction is that the match will end with a comfortable victory for the Spanish royal club.
Team lineup updated at 01:30 on 11/04/2026
Official lineup
Real Madrid
Diagram: 4-3-3
CoachAlvaro Arbeloa
Starting lineup:
- 13. Andriy Lunin (G)
- 2. Daniel Carvajal (D)
- 17. Raúl Asencio (D)
- 3. Éder Militão (D)
- 20. Fran García (D)
- 8. Federico Valverde (M)
- 6. Eduardo Camavinga (M)
- 5. Jude Bellingham (M)
- 21. Brahim Díaz (F)
- 10. Kylian Mbappé (F)
- 7. Vinicius Júnior (F)
Substitutes:
- 24. Dean Huijsen
- 14. Aurélien Tchouaméni
- 4. David Alaba
- 37. Manuel Ángel Morán
- 23. Ferland Mendy
- 16. Gonzalo García
- 19. Dani Ceballos
- 45. Thiago Pitarch
- 42. Daniel Yañez
- 26. Fran González
- 15. Arda Güler
- 32. Jesús Fortea
Girr
Diagram: 4-3-3
CoachMichel
Starting lineup:
- 13. Paulo Gazzaniga (G)
- 4. Arnau Martínez (D)
- 16. Alejandro Francés (D)
- 12. Vitor Reis (D)
- 24. Álex Moreno (D)
- 11. Thomas Lemar (M)
- 20. Axel Witsel (M)
- 23. Iván Martín (M)
- 15. Viktor Tsygankov (F)
- 14. Claudio Echeverri (F)
- 18. Azzedine Onahi (F)
Substitutes:
- 9. Abel Ruíz
- 8. Fran Beltrán
- 2. Hugo Rincón
- 3. Joel Roca
- 1. Rubén Blanco
- 25. Vladyslav Krapyvtsov
- 29. Lass Kourouma
- 5. David Lopez
- 21. Bryan Gil
- 7. Cristhian Stuani
