Real Sociedad vs Alaves Prediction - La Liga Round 31

Thanh VinhApril 11, 2026 09:08

Real Sociedad have a chance to consolidate their position in the European cup qualification group when they host Alaves at Reale Arena, despite the home team facing a serious personnel crisis.

At 7:00 PM on April 11th, Real Sociedad will host Alaves in the 31st round of La Liga. This is a crucial point in the season as the Basque team is striving to catch up with the teams vying for European qualification, while Alaves is still struggling in the lower half of the table to secure their survival in the league.

Ranking position

Currently, Real Sociedad is temporarily ranked 7th with 41 points after 30 rounds. Their goal difference is balanced (46 goals scored, 45 goals conceded). On the other hand, Alaves is in 15th place with 32 points, only a not-so-safe distance above the relegation zone.

TeamLocationMatchPointForm (last 5 matches)
Real Sociedad73041Win 3, lose 2
Alives153032Win 1, draw 2, lose 2

Analysis of form and playing style

Real Sociedad: The Reale Arena as their stronghold.

The Reale Arena side have maintained a fairly consistent home record this season with 8 wins out of a total of 11 matches. Sociedad's playing style is based on ball control and diverse attacking options, averaging 1.5 goals per game. However, their defensive inconsistency, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game, is a cause for concern among fans.

Alaves: Away game worries

Alaves are having a difficult season, especially when playing away from home. In 30 matches played, they have only managed 8 wins and suffered 10 defeats on the road. Alaves' goal-scoring ability is also quite limited, with an average of only 1.1 goals per game, which could make it difficult for them against the home team's pressing system.

Head-to-head history and key statistics

Notably, despite their lower ranking, Alaves have been a formidable opponent for Real Sociedad in recent encounters. In the last five matches, Alaves have held a clear advantage:

  • Win 3 matches
  • Draw 1 match
  • Lost 1 match

In the first leg in February 2026, Real Sociedad struggled to secure a narrow 3-2 victory away at Alaves.

Force situation

This is the biggest headache for Real Sociedad's coach as the list of absentees continues to grow:

  • Real Sociedad:J. Gorrotxategi (muscle injury), Y. Herrera (calf injury), J. Martin (suspension), J. Ochieng (muscle injury), A. Odriozola (knee injury), I. Ruperez (knee injury), I. Zubeldia (thigh injury).
  • Alaves:F. Garces (suspended), C. Protesoni (muscle injury).

Predicting tactics

Despite missing several key players, Real Sociedad is still considered the favorite due to their well-balanced squad and home advantage. The predicted odds of a home win are 45%, while a draw is also estimated at 45%. The chances of Alaves causing an upset at Reale Arena are only 10%.

The match is predicted to be low-scoring, as both teams have personnel losses and tend to play cautiously. A draw or a minimal victory for Real Sociedad is the most likely scenario.

Team lineup updated at 18:30 on April 11, 2026

Official lineup

Real Sociedad

Diagram: 4-4-2

CoachPellegrino Matarazzo

Starting lineup:

  • 1. Álex Remiro (G)
  • 2. Jon Aramburu (D)
  • 6. Aritz Elustondo (D)
  • 16. Duje Ćaleta-Car (D)
  • 17. Sergio Gómez (D)
  • 23. Brais Méndez (M)
  • 8. Beñat Turrientes (M)
  • 18. Carlos Soler (M)
  • 7. Ander Barrenetxea (M)
  • 24. Luka Sučić (F)
  • 9. Orri Steinn Óskarsson (F)

Substitutes:

  • 13. Unai Marrero
  • 3. Aihen Muñoz
  • 15. Pablo Marín
  • 19. Jon Karrikaburu
  • 21. Arsen Zakharyan
  • 46. ​​Ibai Aguirre
  • 22. Wesley
  • 38. Luken Beitia
  • 14. Takefusa Kubo
  • 32. Aitor Fraga
  • 10. Mikel Oyarzabal
  • 11. Gonçalo Guedes

Alives

Diagram: 4-4-2

CoachQuique Sanchez Flores

Starting lineup:

  • 1. Antonio Sivera (G)
  • 7. Ángel Pérez (D)
  • 17. Jonny Otto (D)
  • 14. Nahuel Tenaglia (D)
  • 24. Victor Parada (D)
  • 19. Pablo Ibáñez (M)
  • 18. Jon Guridi (M)
  • 8. Antonio Blanco (M)
  • 21. Abderrahman Rebbach (M)
  • 11. Toni Martínez (F)
  • 22. Ibrahim Diabaté (F)

Substitutes:

  • 31. Grégoire Swiderski
  • 3. Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
  • 20. Calebe Gonçalves
  • 27. Egoitz Muñoz
  • 13. Raul Fernandez
  • 5. Jon Pacheco
  • 9. Mariano Díaz
  • 6. Ander Guevara
  • 4. Denis Suárez
  • 16. Ville Koski
  • 10. Carles Aleñá
  • 15. Lucas Boyé
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Real Sociedad vs Alaves Prediction - La Liga Round 31
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