Real Sociedad vs Oviedo Prediction - La Liga Round 25

The clash at Reale Arena between Real Sociedad and Oviedo is a battle between two clubs at opposite ends of the league table. While the home team is striving to catch up to the European cup qualification spots, the visiting Oviedo is struggling to escape the bottom of the table in a difficult season.

Contrasting positions on the leaderboard

Here are the positions and basic statistics of the two teams before entering this round:

Analysis of form and attacking strength

Real Sociedad is maintaining a relatively stable home record this season. After 24 matches played, the Basque team has won 8 games, including 6 wins at their home ground, Reale Arena. With an average of 1.4 goals per game, the home team's attack is expected to cause many problems for an opponent's shaky defense.

In stark contrast, Oviedo is going through a severe crisis. The team has only managed 3 wins in 23 league matches and is currently at the bottom of the table. Oviedo's biggest weakness lies in their finishing ability, having scored only 13 goals since the start of the season (an average of 0.6 goals per game), while conceding 36. Their away form is also alarming, with 8 losses in 11 away games.

Force situation and personnel losses

Both teams entered this match with significant losses in terms of players, directly impacting the coaches' tactical planning.

Real Sociedad

• T. Kubo:Absent due to a hamstring injury.
• A. Barrenetxea:Absent due to muscle injury.
• I. Ruperez:He is sidelined due to a knee injury.
• L. Sucic:Unable to participate due to a groin injury.

Oviedo

• S. Colombatto:Absent due to having accumulated enough yellow cards.
• D. Costas:He is sidelined due to a muscle injury.
• O. Ejaria:Injured, return date unknown.

Head-to-head history and match analysis

In their most recent encounter on August 31, 2025, Oviedo pulled off a major surprise victory, winning 1-0 against Real Sociedad. However, in this rematch, the home advantage and superior squad quality are clearly in favor of the team playing at Reale Arena.

Experts estimate Real Sociedad have a 45% chance of winning, equivalent to the probability of a draw, while the visiting team Oviedo only have a 10% chance of winning. Determined to avenge their first-leg defeat and improve their position in the standings, Real Sociedad are likely to take the initiative and impose their playing style from the start.

Predict the score and result.

Overall, given the difference in form and home advantage, Real Sociedad is predicted to secure all three points in a match that may not see many goals from the away team.

• Predicted result:Real Sociedad won.
• Goal-scoring potential:Real Sociedad under 3.5 goals; Oviedo under 1.5 goals.

Team lineup updated at 19:30 on February 21, 2026

Official lineup

Real Sociedad

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachPellegrino Matarazzo

Starting lineup:

• 1. Álex Remiro (G)
• 2. Jon Aramburu (D)
• 31. Jon Martin (D)
• 16. Duje Ćaleta-Car (D)
• 17. Sergio Gómez (D)
• 4. Jon Gorrotxategi (M)
• 8. Beñat Turrientes (M)
• 15. Pablo Marín (M)
• 23. Brais Méndez (M)
• 11. Gonçalo Guedes (M)
• 10. Mikel Oyarzabal (F)

Substitutes:

• 13. Unai Marrero
• 6. Aritz Elustondo
• 3. Aihen Muñoz
• 20. Álvaro Odriozola
• 5. Igor Zubeldia
• 12. Yangel Herrera
• 21. Arsen Zakharyan
• 47. Job Ochieng
• 18. Carlos Soler
• 19. Jon Karrikaburu
• 9. Orri Steinn Óskarsson
• 22. Wesley

Oviedo

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachGuillermo Almada Alves Jorge

Starting lineup:

• 13. Aarón Escandell (G)
• 22. Nacho Vidal (D)
• 2. Eric Bailly (D)
• 16. David Carmo (D)
• 25. Javi López (D)
• 6. Kwasi Sibo (M)
• 23. Nicolas Fonseca (M)
• 10. Haissem Hassan (M)
• 5. Alberto Reina (M)
• 7. Ilyas Chaira (M)
• 9. Federico Viñas (F)

Substitutes:

• 1. Horațiu Moldovan
• 3. Abdel Rahim
• 12. Dani Calvo
• 24. Lucas Ahijado
• 20. Leander Dendoncker
• 21. Luka Ilić
• 8. Santi Cazorla
• 27. Pablo Agudín
• 15. Thiago Fernández
• 17. Thiago Borges
• 19. Álex Forés