Saint Etienne vs Nice prediction - Ligue 1 at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Nice have a chance to rediscover their winning form when they face their favored opponent Saint Etienne, especially considering both teams are currently experiencing personnel crises.
The match between Saint Etienne and Nice will take place at 01:45 on May 27, 2026, as part of Ligue 1. This is a crucial encounter for Nice's position in the standings, and a major challenge for Saint Etienne at their home ground, Stade Geoffroy-Guichard.
Ranking position and current context
Currently, Nice sits in 16th place in the league table with 32 points. The Cote d'Azur team is experiencing a very difficult season with inconsistent form. In their last five matches, they have only managed four draws and suffered one defeat. However, their trip to Saint Etienne's stadium carries hope for a positive result based on their superior historical statistics.
Nice: The problem of away form
So far this season, Nice have played 34 matches, with a record of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 16 losses. More worryingly, their defense has conceded 60 goals (an average of 1.8 goals per game). Away from home, Nice have only managed 3 wins in 17 away matches, a statistic reflecting a lack of confidence when playing away from the Allianz Riviera.
Saint Etienne: A fragile home advantage.
Saint Etienne enters this match with only one victory from their most recent home game. Although their goal difference is currently positive (1 goal scored, none conceded), they will face an opponent against whom they have failed to score a single point in their last five encounters.
Nice's dominant head-to-head record
The head-to-head history heavily favors the away team. In their last five encounters, Nice have won all five matches, scoring 20 goals against Saint Etienne and conceding only 4. Most notably, their crushing 8-0 victory in September 2024 created a huge psychological barrier for the Saint Etienne players before the match.
| Match Day | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2025 | Nice - Saint Etienne | 2 - 1 |
| 01/03/2025 | Saint Etienne - Nice | 1 - 3 |
| 21/09/2024 | Nice - Saint Etienne | 8 - 0 |
| 12/05/2022 | Nice - Saint Etienne | 4 - 2 |
| 25/09/2021 | Saint Etienne - Nice | 0 - 3 |
Severe manpower crisis
Both coaches are grappling with lengthy injury lists, which will undoubtedly have a significant impact on the quality of the match.
The home team is Saint Etienne.
Saint Etienne has lost a number of key players. N. El Jamali has a serious knee injury, while F. Tardieu is absent due to a calf injury. In addition, the list of unavailable players includes B. Old (muscle injury), C. Lamba, and players such as M. Jaber and L. Traore. The availability of L. Gadegbeku and J. Le Cardinal remains uncertain.
Nice (away team)
On the other side of the pitch, Nice also lacked key players in their defense and midfield. M. Abdelmonem and E. Pereira (ankle injuries) were unavailable. M. Bombito had a leg injury, while T. Ndombele and S. Abdul Samed were also absent from the squad list.
Analysis and predictions
Despite their recent poor form, Nice are still considered the favorites due to their head-to-head record. With a 90% probability of a win or draw, the away team will likely play cautiously and wait for mistakes from Saint Etienne's defense. Given that both teams are missing several key players, the match is unlikely to see many goals scored.
Predicted result:Nice will either win or draw.
