Sassuolo vs Parma Prediction - Serie A: A Challenge for the Home Team

Thanh VinhJanuary 3, 2026 08:19

Sassuolo face Parma at MAPEI Stadium aiming to improve their position in the top half of the table, while the visitors are striving to escape the relegation zone.

The next round of Serie A features a dramatic clash between Sassuolo and Parma at the MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore. While Sassuolo is striving to maintain a position in the top half of the table, Parma is desperate for points to break away from their precarious 15th place.

Match details

  • Time:21:00 on January 3, 2026
  • Stadium:MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Current ranking position

Here's a comparison of the two teams' positions ahead of the match:

TeamLocationPointForm (last 5 matches)
Sassuolo9221 win, 2 draws, 2 losses
Parma15173 wins, 2 losses

Sassuolo: The attacking and squad dilemma

Despite currently sitting in 9th place, Sassuolo is experiencing a period of inconsistent form. In 17 matches played this season, they have secured 6 wins but also suffered 7 defeats. Notably, Sassuolo's home record is not very impressive, with only 3 wins in 8 home games.

Statistically, the home team scores an average of 1.3 goals per game, but their defense also concedes around 1.2 goals per game. The coach faces mounting difficulties as the list of absentees continues to grow, including key players.

Parma: Efforts to improve goal-scoring performance

In contrast to Sassuolo, Parma, despite being 15th in the league, has shown quite promising form recently with 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Their biggest weakness lies in their finishing ability, having only scored 11 goals in 16 games (an average of 0.7 goals per game). However, Parma's defense has been quite resilient, conceding an average of only 1.1 goals per game, a figure even better than the home team.

Recent head-to-head history

The head-to-head record between the two teams in their last five encounters is evenly balanced:

  • August 3, 2023: Parma 1 - 0 Sassuolo
  • August 1, 2021: Parma 0 - 3 Sassuolo
  • May 16, 2021: Parma 1 - 3 Sassuolo
  • January 17, 2021: Sassuolo 1 - 1 Parma
  • February 16, 2020: Sassuolo 0 - 1 Parma

In these five matches, each team has secured two wins and one draw.

Force situation

Both teams entered this match with significant personnel losses:

Sassuolo

  • D. Berardi:Absent due to muscle injury.
  • D. Boloca:Absent due to a knee injury.
  • W. Coulibaly:Absent due to international duty.
  • Y. Paz:Absent due to hip injury.
  • E. Pieragnolo:Absent due to a knee injury.
  • F. Romagna:Absent due to calf injury.

Parma

  • M. Figan:Absent due to a knee injury.
  • A. Ndiaye:Absent due to a groin injury.
  • Z. Suzuki:Absent due to a finger injury.

Match prediction

Despite facing a personnel crisis, Sassuolo is still considered the favorite due to their home advantage and superior league position. Experts predict a 45% chance of the home team winning, equal to the 45% chance of a draw, while Parma's chances of winning are only 10%.

This is likely to be a tight match with few goals scored. A draw or a minimal victory for Sassuolo is the most probable outcome given the current circumstances.

Team lineup updated at 20:23 on 03/01/2026

Official lineup

Sassuolo

Diagram: 4-3-3

CoachFabio Grosso

Starting lineup:

  • 49. Arijanet Murić (G)
  • 6. Sebastian Walukiewicz (D)
  • 21. Jay Idzes (D)
  • 80. Tarik Muharemović (D)
  • 3. Josh Doig (D)
  • 42. Kristian Thorstvedt (M)
  • 18. Nemanja Matić (M)
  • 35. Luca Lipani (M)
  • 20. Alieu Fadera (F)
  • 99. Andrea Pinamonti (F)
  • 45. Armand Laurienté (F)

Substitutes:

  • 16. Gioele Zacchi
  • 12. Giacomo Satalino
  • 13. Stefano Turati
  • 5. Fali Candé
  • 31. Tommaso Macchioni
  • 26. Cas Odenthal
  • 98. Luca Barani
  • 90. Ismael Koné
  • 40. Aster Vranckx
  • 44. Edoardo Iannoni
  • 14. Laurens Skjellerup
  • 24. Luca Moro
  • 9. Walid Cheddra
  • 77. Nicholas Pierini

Parma

Diagram: 4-3-3

CoachCarlos Cuesta

Starting lineup:

  • 40. Edoardo Corvi (G)
  • 15. Enrico Del Prato (D)
  • 39. Alessandro Circati (D)
  • 5. Lautaro Valentini (D)
  • 14. Emanuele Valeri (D)
  • 10. Adrián Bernabé (M)
  • 16. Mandela Keita (M)
  • 22. Oliver Sørensen (M)
  • 21. Gaetano Oristanio (F)
  • 9. Mateo Pellegrino (F)
  • 17. Jacob Ondrejka (F)

Substitutes:

  • 66. Filippo Rinaldi
  • 13. Vicente Guaita
  • 27. Sascha Britschgi
  • 23. Hernani
  • 24. Christian Ordoñez
  • 25. Benjamin Cremaschi
  • 18. Mathias Fjørtoft Løvik
  • 8. Nahuel Estévez
  • 11. Pontus Almqvist
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Sassuolo vs Parma Prediction - Serie A: A Challenge for the Home Team
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