Sporting CP vs Guimaraes Prediction - Primeira Liga Round 32

At 2:15 AM on May 5th, 2026, Sporting CP will host Guimaraes at the Estádio José Alvalade in the 32nd round of the Portuguese national championship. This is an important match for the home team in their efforts to maintain their position in the leading group as the season draws to a close.

Current league position and form

Currently, Sporting CP is in 3rd place with 73 points after 31 rounds. The team is maintaining an extremely impressive attacking form and is one of the strong contenders for a Champions League spot next season. Meanwhile, Guimaraes is in 7th place with 42 points, a safe position but still needs improvement if they want to compete for European cup qualification.

Sporting CP: Estádio José Alvalade Fortress

The home team has played 31 matches this season with a record of 22 wins, 7 draws, and only 2 losses. Notably, both of their losses came at home, which means the coach and his team must be extremely cautious against a unpredictable Guimaraes side. Sporting CP's greatest strength lies in their attack with 77 goals (an average of 2.5 goals per game) and a solid defense that has only conceded 22 goals since the start of the season.

Guimaraes: A challenge from the visiting team.

On the other side of the pitch, Guimaraes boasts 12 wins in 31 matches. However, their away form is questionable, having lost 9 out of 13 away games this season. Their scoring efficiency averages 1.2 goals per game, while their defense concedes an average of 1.4 goals per game. A positive sign for Guimaraes is their relatively stable recent form, with 3 wins in their last 5 matches.

Head-to-head history and key statistics

In the last five encounters between the two teams, Sporting CP has the advantage with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Notably, in the first leg in early 2026, Guimaraes surprisingly won 2-1 away from home. This result will certainly make Sporting CP more focused in order to settle the score.

• January 7, 2026: Sporting CP 1 - 2 Guimaraes
• December 24, 2025: Guimaraes 1 - 4 Sporting CP
• May 18, 2025: Sporting CP 2 - 0 Guimaraes
• January 4, 2025: Guimaraes 4 - 4 Sporting CP
• April 22, 2024: Sporting CP 3 - 0 Guimaraes

Predicting the course of events and the forces involved.

Regarding personnel, neither Sporting CP nor Guimaraes have reported any serious injuries or suspensions, allowing both teams to field their strongest lineups. With the home advantage and a squad of superior players, Sporting CP is predicted to take control of the game from the start.

Based on statistical indicators, Sporting CP's chances of winning are rated at 45%, while the chances of a draw are also 45%. Guimaraes only have a 10% chance of causing a second upset at Alvalade. Given the importance of the match, a narrow victory for Sporting CP or a high-scoring draw is the most likely scenario.

Predicted result:Sporting CP either drew or won.

Team lineup updated at 02:00 on 05/05/2026

Official lineup

Sporting CP

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachRui Borges

Starting lineup:

• 1. Rui Silva (G)
• 72. Quaresma (D)
• 6. Zeno Debast (D)
• 25. Gonçalo Inácio (D)
• 20. Maximiliano Araújo (D)
• 5. Hidemasa Morita (M)
• 23. Daniel Bragança (M)
• 10. Geny Catamo (M)
• 17. Francisco Trincão (M)
• 8. Pedro Gonçalves (M)
• 97. Luis Javier Suárez (F)

Substitutes:

• 12. João Virgínia
• 91. Ricardo Mangas
• 13. Georgios Vagiannidis
• 26. Ousmane Diomande
• 14. Giorgi Kochorashvili
• 7. Geovany Queda
• 11. Nuno Santos
• 31. Luis Guilherme
• 90. Rafael Nel

Guimaraes

Diagram: 4-2-3-1

CoachGil Lameiras

Starting lineup:

• 27. Charles (G)
• 66. Tony Strata (D)
• 4. Óscar Rivas (D)
• 28. Thiago Balieiro (D)
• 13. João Mendes (D)
• 16. Beni Mukendi (M)
• 23. Diogo Sousa (M)
• 88. Miguel Nogueira (M)
• 20. Samu (M)
• 48. Noah Saviolo (M)
• 11. Gustavo Silva (F)

Substitutes:

• 25. Juan Castillo
• 26. Rodrigo Abascal
• 2. Miguel Maga
• 19. Oumar Camara
• 22. Fabio Blanco
• 18. Telmo Arcanjo
• 30. Gonçalo Nogueira
• 7. Nélson Oliveira
• 90. Alioune Ndoye