Torino vs Cagliari Prediction - Serie A

9:00 PM on December 27th - The battle at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

The next round of Serie A will see a dramatic clash between Torino and Cagliari. The match takes place against a backdrop of both teams facing difficulties in terms of form and personnel issues due to injuries and international breaks.

Torino currently sits 13th in the league table with 20 points after 16 matches. Meanwhile, Cagliari is 15th with 15 points. The 5-point gap isn't huge, but it clearly reflects the slightly better consistency of the home team compared to the visitors from Sardinia.

Recent form: Inconsistency of both teams

The home team, Torino, enters this match with a rather modest record in their last five games, winning only two and losing three. More broadly, since the start of the season, the home team has played 16 matches, winning five, drawing five, and losing six. Torino's scoring efficiency is not very high, averaging 1.0 goal per game, while their defense shows many weaknesses, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game.

On the other side of the pitch, Cagliari isn't doing much better. In their last five matches, they've only managed one win, two draws, and two losses. Notably, Cagliari's away form is questionable, with only one away win since the start of the season. However, Cagliari's attack is slightly better than Torino's, averaging 1.1 goals per game, while their defense has conceded fewer goals (1.4 goals per game).

The history of their head-to-head encounters is balanced.

Looking at the history of the last 5 head-to-head matches, the balance is clearly reflected in the statistics:

• The two teams have an even head-to-head record, with each team winning two matches and one draw.
• In their most recent match in January 2025, Torino won 2-0 against Cagliari.
• The tendency for these encounters to see goals scored is generally quite open, with the exception of the goalless draw in August 2023.

Severe staffing crisis

Both teams are facing lengthy lists of absentees, which will undoubtedly have a significant impact on the coaches' tactical plans.

Torino:We are missing two key defenders, S. Coco and A. Masina, due to national team duties. In addition, Z. Savva and P. Schuurs are still unavailable due to serious knee injuries.

Cagliari:The situation is even worse for the visiting team. Key players like A. Belotti, M. Felici, and J. Pedro are all absent due to knee injuries. J. Liteta and Z. Luvumbo are also unavailable due to international commitments. Furthermore, the participation of M. Folorunsho, A. Obert, and J. Rodriguez remains uncertain due to health reasons.

Tactical analysis and prediction

With the home advantage at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino are expected to take control of the game. However, the absence of key defenders like S. Coco and A. Masina will mean they must be extremely cautious against Cagliari's counter-attacks.

Despite suffering significant losses in their attacking line, Cagliari, with their tenacious playing style, can certainly aim for at least one point away from home. A draw is highly likely, as neither team wants another defeat at this crucial stage of the season.

Based on statistical indicators, the predicted win rate for both teams and the probability of a draw are roughly equal (33%). This suggests that this will be an extremely unpredictable match that could be decided by a moment of individual brilliance or a mistake from the already fragile defenses of both sides.

Team lineup updated at 20:38 on December 27, 2025

Official lineup

Torino

Diagram: 3-4-1-2

CoachMarco Baroni

Starting lineup:

• 1. Alberto Paleari (G)
• 61. Adrien Tameze (D)
• 13. Guillermo Maripán (D)
• 44. Ardian Ismajli (D)
• 16. Marcus Pedersen (M)
• 66. Gvidas Gineitis (M)
• 32. Kristjan Asllani (M)
• 20. Valentino Lazaro (M)
• 10. Nikola Vlašić (F)
• 18. Giovanni Simeone (F)
• 19. Che Adams (F)

Substitutes:

• 81. Franco Israel
• 71. Mihai Popa
• 34. Cristiano Biraghi
• 15. Saba Sazonov
• 25. Niels Nkounkou
• 93. Mattia Pellini
• 21. Ali Dembélé
• 6. Emirhan İlkhan
• 14. Faustino Anjorin
• 22. Cesare Casadei
• 91. Duván Zapata
• 7. Zakaria Aboukhlal
• 92. Alieu Njie
• 26. Cyril Ngonge

Cagliari

Diagram: 3-5-1-1

CoachFabio Pisacane

Starting lineup:

• 1. Elia Caprile (G)
• 28. Gabriele Zappa (D)
• 14. Alessandro Deiola (D)
• 6. Sebastiano Luperto (D)
• 2. Marco Palestra (M)
• 8. Michel Adopo (M)
• 16. Matteo Prati (M)
• 4. Luca Mazzitelli (M)
• 3. Riyad Idrissi (M)
• 10. Gianluca Gaetano (F)
• 9. Semih Kılıçsoy (F)

Substitutes:

• 24. Giuseppe Ciocci
• 31. Boris Radunović
• 23. Nicola Pintus
• 39. Andrea Cogoni
• 33. Adam Obert
• 21. Nicolò Cavuoti
• 20. Marko Rog
• 18. Alessandro Di Pardo
• 29. Gennaro Borrelli
• 30. Leonardo Pavoletti
• 37. Yael Trepy
• 94. Sebastiano Esposito