VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg Prediction - Bundesliga: MHPArena Fortress
VfB Stuttgart have a chance to consolidate their top 5 position when they host SC Freiburg at MHPArena. With an impressive home record, Stuttgart are aiming for three points.
At 9:30 PM on February 1st, 2026, the MHPArena stadium will be the center of attention as VfB Stuttgart faces SC Freiburg in the Bundesliga. This match is not only a clash between two top teams but also holds significant importance in the race for a place in next season's European competitions.
Current league position and form
VfB Stuttgart is having a fantastic season, currently sitting in 5th place with 36 points after 19 rounds. Consistency is key to maintaining their position in the leading group. In their last 5 matches, Stuttgart has maintained a stable form with 3 wins and 2 draws. Notably, the team boasts an effective attack averaging 1.9 goals per game.
Meanwhile, SC Freiburg are close behind in 7th place with 27 points. Despite being 9 points behind their rivals, Freiburg have shown resilience, winning 3, drawing 1, and losing only 1 of their last 5 matches. However, their defense is a major concern, having conceded 32 goals since the start of the season, an average of 1.7 goals per game.
| Team | Location | Point | Form (last 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 36 | 3 wins, 2 draws |
| SC Freiburg | 7 | 27 | 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss |
Home advantage versus away prowess.
VfB Stuttgart is turning MHPArena into a veritable fortress. Of their 11 wins this season, 6 have come at home, and they have only lost once there. With the support of their home crowd, Stuttgart always takes the initiative and imposes their playing style on their opponents.
Conversely, SC Freiburg has shown many weaknesses when playing away from home. They have suffered five defeats in their away matches this season. Although their attack scores fairly regularly (an average of 1.6 goals per game), a lack of concentration in the final minutes is a major problem that the visitors need to overcome if they want to get any points against Stuttgart.
Head-to-head history: Goal feasts
Looking at the last five encounters, fans have always witnessed spectacular matches with plenty of goals. Stuttgart has had crushing victories of 5-0 and 4-0 at MHPArena. However, Freiburg has also shown they are not easily intimidated, winning three of the last five matches against Stuttgart, including a 3-1 victory in the first leg in September 2025.
Force situation and tactical forecast
In terms of personnel, the home team Stuttgart will be without D. Zagadou due to a muscle injury. The availability of L. Jovanovic (back injury) and T. Tomas (muscle injury) remains uncertain. These are significant losses for their defensive and attacking systems.
On SC Freiburg's side, D. Kyereh is definitely absent due to not being fully fit to play. In addition, L. Kubler and P. Lienhart (abdominal muscle strain) are also doubtful. The absence of key players in defense could make it difficult for Freiburg to withstand pressure from the home team's strikers.
Analysis and predictions
Based on statistics, VfB Stuttgart is considered the favorite with a 45% chance of winning. With home advantage and more consistent form, a draw or a win for the home team (Double Chance) is considered a safer bet. This is predicted to be a tight match, where each team is likely to score no more than 2.5 goals.
Team lineup updated at 20:53 on 01/02/2026
Official lineup
VfB Stuttgart
Diagram: 4-2-3-1
CoachSebastian Hoeness
Starting lineup:
- 33. Alexander Nubel (G)
- 4. Josha Vagnoman (D)
- 29. Finn Jeltsch (D)
- 24. Jeff Chabot (D)
- 3. Ramon Hendriks (D)
- 16. Atakan Karazor (M)
- 6. Angelo Stiller (M)
- 18. Jamie Leweling (M)
- 28. Nikolas Nartey (M)
- 11. Bilal El Khannouss (M)
- 26. Deniz Undav (F)
Substitutes:
- 21. Stefan Drljača
- 7. Maximilian Mittelstädt
- 14. Luca Jacques
- 2. Ameen Al-Dakhil
- 30. Chema Andrés
- 22. Lorenz Assignment
- 27. Badredine Bouanani
- 10. Chris Führich
- 9. Ermedin Demirović
SC Freiburg
Diagram: 4-2-3-1
CoachJulian Schuster
Starting lineup:
- 1. Noah Atubolu (G)
- 29. Philipp Treu (D)
- 28. Matthias Ginter (D)
- 37. Max Rosenfelder (D)
- 33. Jordy Makengo (D)
- 8. Maximilian Eggestein (M)
- 44. Johan Manzambi (M)
- 19. Jan-Niklas Beste (M)
- 14. Yuito Suzuki (M)
- 7. Derry Scherhant (M)
- 31. Igor Matanović (F)
Substitutes:
- 21. Florian Müller
- 30. Christian Günter
- 43. Bruno Ogbus
- 5. Anthony Jung
- 22. Cyriaque Irié
- 27. Nicolas Höfler
- 6. Patrick Osterhage
- 32. Vincenzo Grifo
- 9. Lucas Höler
