VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction - Bundesliga (Decision Matchday)
Stuttgart have a chance to consolidate their position in the top four when they host Wolfsburg, who are facing a severe personnel crisis with a lengthy injury list, at MHPArena.
An uneven matchup at MHPArena
At 9:30 PM on March 1st, 2026, VfB Stuttgart will host VfL Wolfsburg in a Bundesliga match at the MHPArena. This match holds completely contrasting meanings for the two teams: Stuttgart is flying high in 4th place with the goal of securing a Champions League spot, while Wolfsburg is languishing in 17th place and facing the threat of relegation.
VfB Stuttgart: Strength from the MHPArena fortress
The home team is having a sensational season, currently sitting 4th in the league table with 43 points after 23 rounds. The biggest advantage for the "White Swans" is their home ground, MHPArena, where they have won 8 matches and lost only 1 since the start of the season. With an impressive scoring rate averaging 1.9 goals per game, Stuttgart's attack is expected to continue its excellent form against an unstable opponent.
VfL Wolfsburg: Severe personnel crisis
Conversely, Wolfsburg is going through its worst period of the season. Sitting second to last in the league table with only 20 points, the "Wolves" are caught in a spiral of consecutive defeats. Statistics show they have conceded 49 goals, an average of 2.1 goals per game – an alarming figure for their hopes of avoiding relegation. Adding to their difficulties is a wave of injuries that has severely depleted their squad.
Current rankings
| Team | Location | Point | Recent form |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 43 | 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 17 | 20 | Draw 1, Loss 4 |
Head-to-head history and key statistics
In their last five encounters, Stuttgart have a clear advantage with three wins, one draw, and only one loss. Notably, in the first leg match in October 2025, Stuttgart thrashed Wolfsburg 3-0 away from home. This head-to-head record, coupled with home advantage, gives Stuttgart's coach and his team confidence in securing all three points.
- 18/10/2025:VfL Wolfsburg 0 - 3 VfB Stuttgart
- 15/02/2025:VfB Stuttgart 1 - 2 VfL Wolfsburg
- 28/09/2024:VfL Wolfsburg 2 - 2 VfB Stuttgart
- 03/03/2024:VfL Wolfsburg 2 - 3 VfB Stuttgart
- 07/10/2023:VfB Stuttgart 3 - 1 VfL Wolfsburg
Team situation: A mini-hospital in Wolfsburg.
Stuttgart entered the match with a relatively stable squad, only missing L. Jovanovic due to a back injury and D. Zagadou's participation uncertain due to a muscle problem. However, Wolfsburg's injury list was a real nightmare. The visitors would be missing a number of key players including: M. Arnold, J. Wind, J. Maehle, P. Wimmer, B. Dardai, and J. Lindstrom. In addition, the availability of M. Amoura and M. Svanberg remained a big question mark, severely impacting the depth of the visiting team's squad.
Analysis and prediction of results
With home advantage, consistent form, and a superior squad, Stuttgart is considered to have a 50% chance of winning. Meanwhile, with a severely depleted squad and low morale after a series of disappointing matches, Wolfsburg's chances of causing an upset are almost zero. The scenario of Stuttgart controlling the game and securing a comfortable victory is something that experts have predicted.
Team lineup updated at 21:00 on 01/03/2026
Official lineup
VfB Stuttgart
Diagram: 3-4-1-2
CoachSebastian Hoeness
Starting lineup:
- 33. Alexander Nubel (G)
- 29. Finn Jeltsch (D)
- 3. Ramon Hendriks (D)
- 14. Luca Jacques (D)
- 18. Jamie Leweling (M)
- 16. Atakan Karazor (M)
- 6. Angelo Stiller (M)
- 10. Chris Führich (M)
- 11. Bilal El Khannouss (F)
- 26. Deniz Undav (F)
- 9. Ermedin Demirović (F)
Substitutes:
- 1. Fabian Bredlow
- 2. Ameen Al-Dakhil
- 7. Maximilian Mittelstädt
- 27. Badredine Bouanani
- 28. Nikolas Nartey
- 22. Lorenz Assignment
- 30. Chema Andrés
- 8. Tiago Tomás
- 25. Jeremy Arevalo
VfL Wolfsburg
Diagram: 4-2-3-1
CoachDaniel Bauer
Starting lineup:
- 1. Kamil Grabara (G)
- 26. Saël Kumbedi (D)
- 4. Konstantinos Koulierakis (D)
- 15. Moritz Jenz (D)
- 6. Jeanuël Belocian (D)
- 24. Christian Eriksen (M)
- 31. Yannick Gerhardt (M)
- 11. Adam Daghim (M)
- 10. Lovero Majer (M)
- 37. Pharell Hensel (M)
- 9. Mohamed Amoura (F)
Substitutes:
- 29. Marius Müller
- 18. Jonas Adjei Adjeley
- 41. Jan Burger
- 25. Aaron Zehnter
- 3. Denis Vavro
- 5. Vinícius Souza
- 19. Jesper Lindstrøm
- 17. Dženan Pejčinović
- 7. Kento Shiogai
