Villarreal vs Alaves prediction - La Liga, January 10th

Villarreal will enter their match against Alaves at Estadio de la Ceramica as the clear favorites. With the race for Champions League qualification becoming increasingly intense, the "Yellow Submarine" understands that securing three points against a lower-ranked opponent is crucial to maintaining their position in the top three.

Match details

Match:Villarreal vs Alaves

Time:22:15 on January 10, 2026

Stadium:Estadio de la Ceramica

Ranking position

The gap in skill and form between the two teams is clearly reflected in their current positions in the La Liga standings:

Villarreal: The power from the sacred ground of Ceramica

The home team is having a sensational season, currently sitting in 3rd place with 38 points after 17 rounds. Notably, Villarreal has turned their home ground into a veritable fortress, winning 7 out of their 12 matches since the start of the season. Their attack is performing exceptionally well, averaging 2.0 goals per game, while their defense has only conceded 0.9 goals per game.

Furthermore, their consistent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches has given the home team plenty of confidence. Their ability to control the game and capitalize on opportunities are key factors in helping Villarreal maintain their position in the top group.

Alaves: Away game worries

In contrast to their rivals' resurgence, Alaves are facing considerable skepticism. Ranked 14th with 19 points, the visitors are only a precarious distance above the relegation zone. Alaves' biggest problem lies in their away form, having lost 6 out of 18 away games this season.

Alaves' attack is also a big question mark, having only scored 15 goals (an average of 0.8 goals per game). Facing Villarreal's disciplined defense, the visitors' chances of causing an upset are relatively low unless they make drastic tactical changes.

History of confrontations

In the last five encounters, the results have been somewhat balanced, but the trend is leaning towards the home team:

• March 8, 2025: Alaves 1 - 0 Villarreal
• November 9, 2024: Villarreal 3 - 0 Alaves
• February 10, 2024: Alaves 1 - 1 Villarreal
• October 22, 2023: Villarreal 1 - 1 Alaves
• April 30, 2022: Alaves 2 - 1 Villarreal

In-depth analysis

Based on statistics, Villarreal has a 45% chance of winning this match. The probability of a draw is also 45%, while the visiting team Alaves only has a 10% chance of winning. With their current scoring performance, Villarreal is predicted to score no more than 3.5 goals, while Alaves is unlikely to score more than once.

Overall, with the home advantage and their dominant form, Villarreal is the strong contender for a win to further solidify their position in the top group of La Liga.

Team lineup updated at 21:38 on 10/01/2026

Official lineup

Villarreal

Diagram: 4-4-2

CoachMarcelino

Starting lineup:

• 1. Luiz Júnior (G)
• 15. Santiago Mouriño (D)
• 8. Juan Foyth (D)
• 12. Renato Veiga (D)
• 24. Alfonso Pedraza (D)
• 17. Tajon Buchanan (M)
• 10. Dani Parejo (M)
• 14. Santi Comesaña (M)
• 20. Alberto Moleiro (M)
• 22. Ayoze Pérez (F)
• 9. Georges Mikautadze (F)

Substitutes:

• 25. Arnau Tenas
• 13. Diego Conde
• 23. Sergi Cardona
• 4. Rafa Marín
• 26. Pau Navarro
• 32. Hugo Lopez
• 37. Carlos Maciá
• 16. Thomas Partey
• 7. Gerard Moreno
• 21. Tani Oluwaseyei
• 19. Nicolas Pépé

Alives

Diagram: 4-1-4-1

CoachEduardo Coudet

Starting lineup:

• 1. Antonio Sivera (G)
• 17. Jonny Otto (D)
• 14. Nahuel Tenaglia (D)
• 5. Jon Pacheco (D)
• 24. Victor Parada (D)
• 8. Antonio Blanco (M)
• 7. Carlos Vicente (M)
• 19. Pablo Ibáñez (M)
• 18. Jon Guridi (M)
• 10. Carles Aleñá (M)
• 11. Toni Martínez (F)

Substitutes:

• 13. Raúl Fernández
• 30. Carlos Ballestero
• 3. Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim
• 20. Calebe Gonçalves
• 21. Abderrahman Rebecca
• 6. Ander Guevara
• 34. Aitor Mañas