Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund are aiming to defend their runner-up position at Weserstadion, while hosts Werder Bremen are facing a serious squad crisis.
The match between Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund in the penultimate round of the Bundesliga holds contrasting meanings for both teams. While Dortmund needs points to consolidate their second-place position in the standings, Werder Bremen is fighting to maintain a safe distance from the relegation zone.
Context and ranking position
Borussia Dortmund currently sits firmly in second place with 70 points after 33 matches. With a powerful attack that has scored 68 goals (an average of 2.1 goals per game), the Ruhr team remains a formidable force. Conversely, Werder Bremen is experiencing a difficult season, currently sitting in 15th place with 32 points. The Weserstadion side are only a narrow distance from the relegation zone and need at least one point to control their own destiny.
Performance analysis and statistics
Borussia Dortmund's recent form has been somewhat inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five league matches. However, their away record remains quite impressive with eight wins this season. Coach Edin Terzic's team boasts the second-best defense in the league, having conceded only 34 goals.
On the opposite side, Werder Bremen is showing inconsistent form, having only won 1 of their last 5 matches, with 1 draw and 3 losses. Their defense is their Achilles' heel, having conceded 58 goals since the start of the season, an average of 1.8 goals per game. Their only strength is their home ground, Weserstadion, where they have won 5 of their 8 matches this season.
Historically, Dortmund has the advantage in head-to-head matches.
In their last five encounters, Borussia Dortmund have completely dominated with three wins and two draws. In the first leg in January 2026, Dortmund easily defeated their opponents 3-0. This trend shows that Werder Bremen often have great difficulty finding the back of the net against the yellow-and-black team.
Team news: The home team's crisis
Werder Bremen entered this match with a long list of injured players. Most notably, Y. Sugawara was absent due to a red card. In addition, several key players such as M. Weiser (knee injury), K. Topp (knee injury), J. Malatini (ankle injury), and K. Hein (hand injury) were also absent. The personnel shortage across all three lines raised serious questions about Bremen's ability to withstand the pressure.
On Borussia Dortmund's side, they also lost two important players: captain Emre Can (knee injury) and defender R. Bensebaini (foot injury). However, with their current squad depth, Dortmund still have enough quality replacements to maintain their dominant performance.
Predicting the match scenario
With their superior strength and motivation to maintain their second-place position, Borussia Dortmund are predicted to completely control the game. The visitors' chances of winning are estimated at 45%, while the home team Bremen's chances of causing an upset are only 10%. The most likely scenario is a one-sided match, where Dortmund will thoroughly exploit the weaknesses in the home team's makeshift defense.
