Analyzing the defensive capabilities of the Arrow 3 system against the Oreshnik hypersonic missile.

Thanh VinhJanuary 13, 2026 05:08

According to reports from NATO and German media, the Arrow 3 defense system is currently not capable of intercepting Russia's Oreshnik hypersonic missile in real combat conditions.

The Israeli-made Arrow 3 high-altitude air defense system, currently deployed in Germany, is considered insufficient to intercept Russia's Oreshnik hypersonic missile. This assessment is based on technical calculations and reports from NATO Command, reflecting new challenges in current missile defense technology.

Khoảnh khắc tên lửa siêu thanh Oreshnik tấn công mục tiêu tại Kiev
The moment Oreshnik attacked its target in Kyiv.

Technical limitations of the Arrow 3 system

According to the German newspaper Welt, citing NATO sources, the Arrow 3 system is currently only in the initial readiness phase, meaning it has not yet been fully operationalized. Theoretically, Arrow 3 is capable of intercepting high-altitude targets, but the flight characteristics and speed of the Oreshnik medium-range hypersonic missile exceed the system's current processing capabilities.

During this period, defense units are temporarily using the Dutch Patriot system for support. However, the Patriot only has limited capabilities against weapons like the Oreshnik. Military experts believe that the disparity between hypersonic attack speeds and the missile defense response capabilities is creating a significant security gap in Europe.

The impact of the attack in the early morning of January 8th.

The Russian Ministry of Defense confirmed the use of Oreshnik missiles in a large-scale attack on critical infrastructure in Ukraine in the early hours of January 8th. The attack was in retaliation for an earlier incident targeting the residence of Russian President Vladimir Putin. In Kyiv, Mayor Vitali Klitschko reported significant damage to the city's energy infrastructure, resulting in widespread power outages.

Notably, the effectiveness of the Oreshnik missile in combat has altered Western strategic assessments. The Sohu news portal noted that this weapon renders Ukraine's existing air defense system ineffective, while simultaneously sending a strong deterrent signal to countries intending to intervene further in the conflict.

Geopolitical consequences and reactions from various parties.

Beyond the technical aspects, the deployment of Oreshnik also has a clear political purpose. The Daily Express highlighted warnings from Russian Security Council Deputy Chairman Dmitry Medvedev to Kyiv's European partners. Russia asserted its ability to carry out precision strikes deep into enemy territory, directly challenging NATO's traditional security views.

Overall, the appearance of Oreshnik on the battlefield is not only a test for the Arrow 3 system but also forces Western countries to reassess their entire multi-layered missile defense network. Upgrading technology to counter hypersonic weapons is predicted to be a top priority for NATO in the near future.

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Analyzing the defensive capabilities of the Arrow 3 system against the Oreshnik hypersonic missile.
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