Rating the possibility of winning the match between MU vs Man City: Leaning towards the blue half

The clash between Manchester United and Manchester City at 10:30pm on April 6 promises to be an emotional Manchester derby, but it also reflects the growing gap between the two teams in the same city. While Man City enter the match aiming to regain their position in the top 4, Man United are struggling with a series of injuries, inconsistent form and doubts about their true strength.

Man City: The spirit of a champion

Despite missing Erling Haaland – the main striker who suffered an ankle injury – and a series of pillars such as Rodri, Nathan Ake, John Stones and Manuel Akanji, Man City still showed impressive collective strength in the victory over Leicester City. The brilliance of Jack Grealish and Omar Marmoush was a testament to Pep Guardiola's squad depth and effective tactical rotation.

Kevin De Bruyne could be playing his final Manchester derby before leaving the club in the summer. While his chances of starting are still up in the air, his presence is a class and inspiration for the team. City are in a good mood after breaking their losing streak and still have a chance of winning the FA Cup.

However, the biggest weakness of the blue team comes from away matches. In the last 11 Premier League matches away from Etihad, they have only won 3 times and lost 6 times - not very convincing numbers for a championship candidate.

Man United: Fragile efforts amid crisis

For Manchester United, the expectation of winning points in this derby is not strength, but fighting spirit and the ability to create surprises. However, the reality shows that coach Amorim's team is facing too many difficulties. The long injury list, from Lisandro Martinez, Luke Shaw, to Amad Diallo and Jonny Evans, has made the Red Devils' squad lose the necessary stability. Matthijs de Ligt also became a question mark after having problems before the match against Forest.

Harry Maguire is likely to be recalled, while Mason Mount – who has just returned from injury – could start to strengthen the midfield. But the remaining names such as Antony, Hojlund and Garnacho have yet to show their ability to carry the attack in big games.

The defeat to Nottingham Forest in midweek was a stark warning. Not only did Anthony Elanga – a former player – score the decisive goal, but United also had virtually no counter-attacking options. Creativity, speed and character – all were big questions for the Reds.

Comparing Opportunities: Conquerors and Identity Seekers

In terms of strength, form and clear goals, Man City is the dominant team. Despite having problems away from home, they still show their mettle in big matches. On the contrary, Man United is gradually losing their style of play and no longer maintaining confidence at home - where they have conceded goals in 12 consecutive matches.

However, the history of the confrontation is not entirely in Man City's favor. The Red Devils have won against their opponents at the Etihad and are unbeaten in their last three encounters over 90 minutes. But times have changed, and this derby could be the turning point in determining who is the real strong team in Manchester today.

Conclusion: Man City has a good chance of winning 3 points

Overall, Man City have a big advantage in both personnel and form. Despite missing Haaland, they still have many quality attacking options and superior control of the game. Meanwhile, Man United can only hope for a temporary rise, something they have not been able to do in recent matches.

Winning Probability:

• Man City:65%
• Man United:20%
• Tie:15%

Old Trafford may still be red, but the final cheer will likely belong to the visitors in blue.