What is the scenario for Song Lam Nghe An's relegation race?
(Baonghean.vn) - With only 14 points after 15 rounds, coach Phan Nhu Thuat and his team have fallen into the dangerous zone of the rankings. So what scenario will happen in Song Lam Nghe An's relegation race for the rest of the season?
How many points do you need to stay in the league?
In the last 5 seasons in V.League (except the canceled 2021 season), the milestone to successfully stay in the league is about 27 points.
With the current score of 14 points after 15 rounds, the Nghe team will have to earn 13 points in the remaining 11 rounds to ensure relegation. So which matches will those 13 points come from?
The matches at risk of losing
First of all, let's look at the matches where Song Lam Nghe An will have a hard time getting points, even just 1 point. The first is the match against Hanoi Club in the upcoming round. Although playing at home, the recent form of coach Phan Nhu Thuat's team is not good, so the confrontation with the capital team will be difficult for Song Lam Nghe An to get 1 point.
The match at Thien Truong Stadium will also be a match where it will be difficult for the Nghe An team to get 1 point, especially in the context that the Nam Dinh Steel Blue is very eager to win to be able to win the championship this season. With a strong force and home field advantage, the fact that the team from Thanh Nam will get 3 points is a foregone conclusion.
Finally, the away match is at The Cong Viettel Club. Hang Day Stadium has long been a dangerous place for the Nghe An team. In the 2 trips to the capital this season, Song Lam Nghe An has suffered 2 defeats. Therefore, it will be very difficult for coach Phan Nhu Thuat and his team to get points in this match.
Thus, in the 3 matches above, if Song Lam Nghe An gets 1 point, it will be a success for the Nghe team.
Matches with a potential for 1 point
There are 5 matches, the possibility of coach Phan Nhu Thuat and his team winning 1 point is quite high. Those are away matches against LPBank Hoang Anh Gia Lai, MerryLand Quy Nhon Binh Dinh or Quang Nam Club. In which, the very good head-to-head record against LPBank Hoang Anh Gia Lai will be the basis for hoping to get 1 to 3 points for coach Phan Nhu Thuat and his team.
On the other hand, impressive performances against Quang Nam Club or MerryLand Quy Nhon Binh Dinh in the first leg will help the Nghe team be more confident in their away trips to Hoa Xuan or Quy Nhon. If they have a reasonable strategy, 1 point will be a reasonable goal for the Nghe team in these away trips.
The remaining 2 matches where Song Lam Nghe An is likely to gain 1 point are the receptions of Becamex Binh Duong and Dong A Thanh Hoa at Vinh Stadium. These are all opponents with difficult playing styles, so the home field advantage is not too obvious for the Nghe team. Therefore, 1 point is an acceptable result from these difficult confrontations.
The "reverse finals"
There are 3 matches that not only Song Lam Nghe An but also Nghe An fans hope for a victory to create a safe distance on the rankings. These are all matches where the Nghe team plays at Vinh Stadium and welcomes opponents of equal strength.
First is Ho Chi Minh City Club. Coach Phung Thanh Phuong's team has suffered 3 consecutive defeats in their trips to Vinh Stadium. Therefore, Vinh Stadium will be a huge advantage for coach Phan Nhu Thuat and his team to get 3 points.
Along with that is the determination to get 3 points in the reverse final match against Khanh Hoa Club. The team from the coastal city of Nha Trang will be the easiest opponent that Song Lam Nghe An will welcome in the rest of the season. Therefore, victory will be the command, the must for coach Phan Nhu Thuat and his team in the relegation race.
The remaining match will be a clash with brother Hong Linh Ha Tinh in the penultimate round. The basis for hoping for victory is Vinh Stadium and the possibility that coach Nguyen Thanh Cong's team has reached the finish line safely. Therefore, against a Hong Linh Ha Tinh team without much motivation, the Nghe team will get 3 points to stay in the league early this season.
Of course, these are just predictions about Song Lam Nghe An’s relegation race this year. Hopefully, coach Phan Nhu Thuat and his team will have an excellent performance in the rest of the season, thereby completing the relegation mission this season./.
