Places where war could break out in 2022

The aircraft carrier USS Iowa during the 1987 Gulf War. Photo: AP

In the author's opinion, one of these areas is Iran. Negotiations on the nuclear deal have resumed but have made little progress, while the room for concessions is increasingly narrowing. According to Frachon, Tehran has not forgotten the policy of former US President Donald Trump, who unilaterally withdrew from the deal, so now the Iranian side will raise preconditions.

Iran has now reached the level of 60% uranium enrichment, which experts say will take just one month to reach the level needed for military purposes. According to journalist Frachon, this situation is pushing Israel and the US to launch an attack on Iran's nuclear complex, and Tehran will respond, so the conflict could spread throughout the Middle East.

Another danger zone, according to Mr. Frachon, is Taiwan. As the author writes, China is carrying out military movements that Washington believes could lead to “forceful action” against the self-governing island. According to the journalist, the United States has previously pledged to provide defense equipment to Taiwan, but that does not force Washington to directly intervene in the situation, and President Joe Biden is currently ambivalent about this.

The last area that journalist Frachon listed is Ukraine. According to the journalist's assessment, Russia has directly announced its ambitions when demanding the US to accept the security guarantee proposal, while Moscow reserves the right to act if its "red lines" are not met. Russia has repeatedly emphasized that it has no plans to provoke any country and noted that the statements about the possibility of "invasion" used by the West are just an excuse to increase the deployment of NATO troops in border areas near Russia./.