Opta supercomputer predicts 2025–26 Premier League title: MU won't make it into TOP 4
Supercomputer surprises with 2025–26 Premier League standings prediction: Liverpool continues to be unrivaled, Man Utd falls to bottom of expectations
Quick summary:
Liverpool have a 28.5% chance of winning the 2025-2026 Premier League according to the Opta supercomputer.
Arsenal continued to finish second, while Man City and Chelsea completed the top 4.
Man Utd is only in 12th place, Tottenham rises to 14th place.
Aston Villa, Newcastle compete for C1; Brighton and Palace aim for C2.
Leeds, Burnley, Sunderland are all predicted to be relegated in their first year.
The 2025–26 Premier League season officially kicks off on August 15, with the opening match between Liverpool and Bournemouth. Ahead of kick-off, Opta's supercomputer has made a surprising prediction about where the 20 teams will stand after 38 rounds.
| Ranking | Club |
|---|---|
| 1. | Liverpool |
| 2. | Arsenal |
| 3. | Man City |
| 4. | Chelsea |
| 5. | Aston Villa |
| 6. | Newcastle United |
| 7. | Crystal Palace |
| 8. | Brighton |
| 9. | Bournemouth |
| 10. | Brentford |
| 11. | Nottingham Forest |
| 12. | Man Utd |
| 13. | Everton |
| 14. | Tottenham |
| 15. | Fulham |
| 16. | West Ham |
| 17. | Wolves |
| 18. | Burnley |
| 19. | Leeds |
| 20. | Sunderland |
Liverpool stay on top, Arsenal finish second for the fourth consecutive time?
Liverpool are predicted to have the best chance of winning the title this season, with a 28.5% win rate. Coach Arne Slot's deep squad is considered capable of maintaining the No. 1 position.
Behind, Arsenal continue to play the role of "great runner-up" with a 24.3% chance of taking the title. If this happens, this will be the fourth consecutive season that the Gunners are second.
Man City & Chelsea back in top 4, but not champions yet
Manchester City are tipped to return to the top four, despite last season’s underwhelming performance. They have an 18.8% chance of winning the title – lower than Liverpool and Arsenal, but still ahead of Chelsea (8.4%), who recently won the Club World Cup.
European race: Villa, Newcastle, Brighton compete for places
Aston Villa and Newcastle United continue to battle for Champions League places after impressive seasons, with Crystal Palace, Brighton, Bournemouth and Brentford also expected to push for Europa League or Conference League spots.
Man Utd and Tottenham: Long-lasting sadness?
Manchester United are predicted to finish just 12th, despite a slight improvement on last season. Such a low position could cost manager Ruben Amorim his job and further plunge the club into crisis.
Tottenham Hotspur were predicted to escape relegation after a poor 2024–25 season (ranked 17th), but only managed to climb to 14th, not enough to dream of the top.
3 rookies say goodbye early?
The three newly promoted teams, Leeds United, Burnley and Sunderland, are all predicted to be relegated in their first season back in the league. If true, this will be the third year in a row that all three newcomers have been relegated to the Championship.
