Mr. Trump affects geopolitics and US relations with allies even though he has not been re-elected.
(Baonghean.vn) - According to RT on January 17, Foreign Affairs magazine said that Mr. Donald Trump has a chance to win the US presidential election this year. This has caused leaders of many countries to start preparing for the scenario of him returning to the White House once again.
According to Foreign Affairs, the upcoming political event in November 2024 in the US will have a huge impact on the domestic and foreign policies of the major powers. Because they understand very well that, in the next year, they will have to deal with a completely different US Government, as well as many changes in their relationship with Washington.
Foreign Affairs said that Russian President Vladimir Putin’s bet on Donald Trump in the conflict in Ukraine is a prime example of such a strategy. In recent months, as the battlefield has become stalemate, there has been growing speculation that President Putin is willing to end the Ukraine crisis, but it is unlikely that the conflict will end in 2024.
Foreign Affairs believes that the problem is that President Putin is willing to wait for Donald Trump - who has pledged to "end the conflict in Ukraine within 24 hours" - to take power, because it is likely that Trump's re-election as president will offer much more favorable conditions for Russia than under President Joe Biden.
In contrast, Ukraine's European allies see Donald Trump's victory as a threat to European security, as they fear that the United States will not be ready to defend Europe in the event of a potential conflict with Russia. In particular, Foreign Affairs recalled former German Chancellor Angela Merkel's statement, after tense negotiations with Trump while still in office, that Europe "will have to fight for its future alone."
In addition, Europe fears the prospect of a US withdrawal from NATO under a Donald Trump administration. Mr. Trump’s campaign website now calls for a “fundamental reassessment of NATO’s purpose and mission.” Amid debates over how many tanks and artillery shells to send to Ukraine, some European countries are now pausing to ask themselves whether they need the weapons for defense if Mr. Trump is re-elected in November.
There was a time, according to Foreign Affairs, when the differences between Democrats and Republicans on foreign policy issues were so small as to be imperceptible. However, this decade is not that "golden age." The US Constitution requires presidential elections to be held every four years, which the business community calls a "breakthrough effort."
Foreign Affairs argues that on any issue – whether it is climate negotiations, trade or NATO support for Ukraine – President Joe Biden and his foreign policy team are increasingly vulnerable and challenged as America’s partners reconsider their promises to Washington amid what could be a very different US government.
2024 could be a year of turmoil, with the world watching US politics with mixed emotions. Because all these political developments will not only be about a new US president, but also the presence of a leader with global influence./.
