WSJ: Predicting the outcome of the US election in swing states is difficult.
According to a survey in battleground states, voters support Trump on the economy and immigration, while supporting Harris on abortion rights.
According to a poll recently published by the Wall Street Journal (WSJ), Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are neck and neck in all seven battleground states that will decide the outcome of the US presidential election next month.
A survey of over 4,200 voters showed Harris with a narrow advantage over Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin, while Trump held a small lead in Nevada, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.
However, the newspaper noted that no advantage exceeded 2 percentage points, except in Nevada, where Trump led by 5 percentage points. All of these results were within the newspaper's margin of error.
Across the seven swing states, Trump leads Harris 46% to 45%, according to the poll results. Approximately 93% of Republicans support Trump, while 93% of Democrats also support Harris. Additionally, independent voters favor Harris 40% compared to Trump's 39%.
David Lee, a Republican pollster working on the survey, told the newspaper: "This race is incredibly close and it will all depend on the last three weeks. Those weeks are really crucial."
Democratic pollster Michael Bocian commented: "It really couldn't be closer. This is a very, very close race."
A series of recent polls have shown Trump and Harris separated by only a few percentage points in these key states, with Trump leading in all states except Wisconsin, according to RealClearPolitics.
Voters surveyed by the WSJ ranked the economy and immigration as their top two concerns. They favored Trump over Harris on economic issues by 10 points, and on immigration and border security by 16 points. Harris also outperformed Trump on abortion rights by 16 points.
At this point in the 2020 race, President Joe Biden leads Trump by five points in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Trump won all three of these northern industrial states in 2016 and lost them to Biden in 2020. Winning all three would almost guarantee the presidency for either Trump or Harris this year.
