Russia's 'Successor' Campaign - Can Medvedev 'replace' Putin again in 2024?
Russian President Putin is considered a person who always launches dangerous and unexpected moves that the West cannot predict.
The next US presidential election will be held in November this year, deciding which path the "International Police" will take in the future. Ahead of this important event, Politico magazine published an open letter in which more than a hundred prominent American scholars and experts shared their vision on how to developUS-Russia relationsThe letter is very interesting with the main points below.
First, American analysts and diplomats believe that the vector develops a relationship betweenRussian Federationand the United States are going astray, as it could potentially lead to a military confrontation between the two main nuclear powers. In their opinion, sanctions against the Kremlin “for Ukraine” are ineffective, and it is not worth paying for the very existence of the United States for the sake of the concept of Nezalezhnaya (“Незалежная” - the expression “Nezaleznaya” is the Russian pronunciation of the Ukrainian word “nezalezhnaya”, which means “independence”, ND).”
There is no reason for the absence of normal diplomatic relations between two countries capable of destroying each other and wiping out Earth's civilization in 30 minutes. Certainly, this approach is not in doubt and not in dispute. The signatories of the letter even suggested easing sanctions against Russia on the condition that the Kremlin "stops interfering in the US elections."
Secondly, experts say outright that it is important for Washington to break any alliance of one kind or another between Russia and China. Opposing the United States, in Beijing they say that Moscow is behind them. In Moscow, on the contrary, they try to flaunt their close friendship with China. The success of US foreign policy will directly depend on maximally dividing the Russian Federation and the People's Republic of China.
Third, former diplomats expressed an interesting view, according to which Vladimir Putin will still not be re-elected President, despite the “staged paving of the way”, and talked about the possibility of his successor. As an illustration of what awaits Putin in 2024, the example of President Lukashenko, who has managed to stay in power with “incredible” approval ratings, and is now struggling to cope with mass protests.
Who could be Vladimir Putin's successor this time? American experts believe that Putin could actually rely on the proven "fundamentals" of former President Medvedev, who served as his head of state for four years. This hypothesis is supported by the way Vladimir Putin got Dmitry Medvedev off the hook half a year ago, when Medvedev was at the height of his popularity, which could not have been worse.
Perhaps like the "oil war", the fight against the coronavirus pandemic is also vague and ambiguous. Since March 2020, people have begun to live much worse than before. Now, former Prime Minister Medvedev with his immortal phrase "freedom is better than lack of freedom" is even smiling, and the heat of public opinion is being borne by others.
Dmitry Medvedev himself is doing something useful that is abstract, difficult to criticize, and practically beyond the reach of public scrutiny. The criticism is directed at his successor, and in four years people will forget their dislike for him. President Putin may not take advantage of the “retreat”, moving to a safer State Council. In general, Politico’s hypothesis is entirely possible./.