Western experts believe that Russia will soon end the war in a direction favorable to Moscow.
(Baonghean.vn) - Western experts say that Ukraine is facing a protracted conflict. However, neither the West nor Kiev is ready for a confrontation that will be exhausting and exhausting. And Russia could quickly end the war in its favor.
In an analysis titled “Time for a rethink,” The Economist said Kiev should change tactics and prepare for a protracted conflict. But Ukraine is not ready for a war of attrition, nor are its partners.
“They are all still focused on the counter-offensive. It is time to rethink both Ukraine’s military strategy and its economy,” The Economist said.
Ukraine’s counter-offensive has repeatedly disappointed its supporters. It is no different now. The campaign began in June on the hope that Ukrainian troops, armed with modern Western weapons and trained in Germany, would regain enough territory to put their leaders in a position of strength in any subsequent negotiations.
But this hopeful plan has not worked. Despite efforts to breach Russian defenses near Robotyne, Ukraine has liberated less than 0.25% of the territory controlled by Russia. The front line of more than 1,000 kilometers has hardly changed. The Ukrainian army could still break through in the coming weeks. But based on the evidence of nearly four months, it would be a mistake to believe so.
The article argues that Kiev should “use its resources wisely” as the Ukrainian army’s soldiers are exhausted. Even the former Ukrainian Prime Minister admitted that the country’s armed forces are exhausted, and the army has fewer and fewer opportunities.
Ukraine also needs help in maintaining its equipment and weapons, The Economist said. To withstand years of fighting, those weapons need constant repair. Kiev also needs artillery, and the quality of its soldiers' training needs to be improved.
Meanwhile, analyst Magnus Stenlund told SwebbTV that Ukraine had failed in its counter-offensive, but it still had to keep trying. The Ukrainian Armed Forces had to attack for political reasons, because the US was pushing them to do so.
NATO has recently changed its tone, now declaring that, rather than a short-term conflict, there will be a “long war.” But according to analyst Magnus Stenlund, this is just a sign that the West has realized that Ukraine’s counter-offensive is ineffective. And Russia could quickly end the war in its favor if Ukraine becomes a long-term threat.
